# Monthly Archives: October 2011

## Catching up faster by switching sooner

October 25, 2011
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Here is our discussion (with Nicolas Chopin) of the Read Paper of last Wednesday by T. van Erven, P. Grünwald and S. de Rooij (Centrum voor Wiskunde en Informatica, Amsterdam), entitled Catching up faster by switching sooner: a predictive approach to adaptive estimation with an application to the Akaike information criterion–Bayesian information criterion dilemma. It

## Mapping Hotspots with R: The GAM

October 25, 2011
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I've been getting a lot of questions about the method used to map the hotspots in the seasonal drunk-driving risk maps.  It uses the GAM (Geographical Analysis Machine), a way of detecting spatial clusters from two data inputs: the data of interes...

## Installing the RMySQL package on Windows 7

October 25, 2011
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So you want to get statistical? Nowadays one of the ways to go is to use R, mostly in combination with ggplot2 for generating the plots. These plots and graphs however need some data, for that we use data sources. There are a lot of data sources availa...

## Example 9.11: Employment plot

October 25, 2011
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A facebook friend posted the picture reproduced above-- it makes the case that President Obama has been a successful creator of jobs, and also paints GW Bush as a president who lost jobs. Another friend pointed out that to be fair, all of Bush's presi...

## Consecutive number and lottery

October 25, 2011
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Recently, I have been reading odd things about strategies to win at the lottery. E.g. or I wrote something a long time ago, but maybe it would be better to write another post. First, it is easy to get data on the French lotteries, including dra...

## Longitudinal analysis: autocorrelation makes a difference

October 25, 2011
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Back to posting after a long weekend and more than enough rugby coverage to last a few years. Anyway, back to linear models, where we usually assume normality, independence and homogeneous variances. In most statistics courses we live in a … Continue reading →

## Expected shortfall (CVaR) and Conditional Drawdown at Risk (CDaR) risk measures

October 25, 2011
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$Expected shortfall (CVaR) and Conditional Drawdown at Risk (CDaR) risk measures$

In the Maximum Loss and Mean-Absolute Deviation risk measures post I started the discussion about alternative risk measures we can use to construct efficient frontier. Another alternative risk measures I want to discuss are Expected shortfall (CVaR) and Conditional Drawdown at Risk (CDaR). I will use methods presented in Comparative Analysis of Linear Portfolio Rebalancing

## Email Netiquette

October 25, 2011
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A short piece of web-scrapping I sent as a reminder to my colleague. If you run it the result should be something like... Datatata!

## Sabermetrics Meets R Meetup

October 25, 2011
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I just ran across this post at Big Computing. On November 14th, there will be an R User meet-up in Washington, DC (Tyson's Corner) led by Mike Driscoll about using R for sabermetric analysis (linked here). I will actually be home in Maryland for a co...

## Pair trading strategy : how to use "PairTrading" package

October 25, 2011
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Mr.Ishikawa(my old friend) and I developed "PairTrading" package, and uploaded it on CRAN.This article shows you how you can use it.The pair trading is a market neutral trading strategy and gives traders a chance to profit regardless of market conditions. The idea of this strategy is quite simple. 1 : Select two stocks(or any assets) moving similarly 2 : Short...

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