May 2013

Japan – JGB Yields–More Lattice Charts

May 15, 2013 | klr

This blog is littered with posts about Japan. In one sentence, I think Japan presents opportunity and is a very interesting real-time test of much of my macro thinking. Proper visualization is absolutely essential for me to understand all of the dynami...
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Variance matrix differences

May 15, 2013 | Pat

Torturing portfolios to give different volatilities between a factor model and Ledoit-Wolf shrinkage. Previously There have been posts on: “What the hell is a variance matrix?” factor models Ledoit-Wolf shrinkage Question Two of the several ways to produce an estimate of the variance matrix of asset returns is a statistical ... [Read more...]

Forecasting annual totals from monthly data

May 15, 2013 | Rob J Hyndman

This question was posed on crossvalidated.com: I have a monthly time series (for 2009–2012 non-stationary, with seasonality). I can use ARIMA (or ETS) to obtain point and interval forecasts for each month of 2013, but I am interested in forecasting the total for the whole year, including prediction intervals. Is there ... [Read more...]

From a random generator to a sample function

May 14, 2013 | arthur charpentier

This week-end, I wrote a post since I had some trouble to generate a sample random sample with R, to reproduce one obtained by a co-author, with SAS (generated using Fishman and Moore (1982) used in function RANUNI). I was lucky since another contributor for that book, Christrophe Dutang, got the ... [Read more...]

Top 3 R resources for beginners

May 14, 2013 | David Smith

The community team at Revolution Analytics has just updated this list of resources to learn about R on the Web. Included is this list of the top 3 resources for absolute beginners getting started with R: An Introduction to R – The free, “official” CRAN R Manual Try R – a short course ... [Read more...]

Beware: 2 is not always 2 in R

May 14, 2013 | petrkeil

This post is minimalistic. Consider this: Now let's have look at what's inside x: But is it really true? Here you go. A colleague of mine was once ruined by this for an entire day before we realized what was…Read more → [Read more...]

Projection Pursuit Classification Trees

May 14, 2013 | Max Kuhn

I've been looking at this article for a new tree-based method. It uses other classification methods (e.g. LDA) to find a single variable use in the split and builds a tree in that manner. The subtleties of the model are: The model does not prune but ... [Read more...]

PhyloTempo

May 14, 2013 | Mathieu

Summary: Two new measures of tree topology are introduced: temporal clustering (TC), and staircase-ness. Several other existing statistics are also implemented for the purpose of comparison: Aldous's graphical test and likelihood test to decide if a tree fits the Yule … Continue reading → [Read more...]

Claims Inflation – a known unknown

May 14, 2013 | Markus Gesmann

Over the last year I worked with two colleagues of mine on the subject of inflation and claims inflation in particular. I didn't expect it to be such a challenging topic, but we ended up with more questions than answers. The key question and biggest ch... [Read more...]

RcppArmadillo 0.3.820

May 13, 2013 | Thinking inside the box

Conrad rolled up a new Armadillo release 3.820 (following two minor fix release in the 0.3.810 series of which we packaged the one that was relevant for us). This new version is now out in a release 0.3.820 of RcppArmadillo which is already on CRAN a... [Read more...]

Stan!

May 13, 2013 | andrew

Guy Freeman writes: I thought you’d all like to know that Stan was used and referenced in a peer-reviewed Rapid Communications paper on influenza. Thank you for this excellent modelling language and sampler, which made it possible to carry out this work quickly! I haven’t actually read the ... [Read more...]
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