I predicted on 25th August a second-wave in London in 2-4 weeks time. It looks like the recent media's coverage and the government's policy reaction are consistent with my prediction.The policy response of rule-of-six-in-social-gathering is mild....

x-axis: latest 7 day average for new daily lab-confirmed cases per 10000 persony-axis: the 30 day increase of the new cases, measured by log ratioThe closer to the bottom left the better the borough is doing.I then created a distance metric between the...

  The some columns on the data file has changed so I have updated the code from my last post. It is worrying that the daily number of new cases has risen to the same level as when the lock down started. The speed of the increase remains quite slow however. ...

To be honest, the main reason for me to send my kids back to school is to keep the household sane. Nevertheless, the decision should be informed by data. So here we go. I have downloaded the data from the UK government website and filtered the data by region. The ...