Trend-Anomaly Analysis: Ethereum’s Pectra Upgrade
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The Pectra upgrade for Ethereum could catalyze the expected uptrend despite the reduced risk appetite caused by the Tariff War between the US and China.
Based on the trend-anomaly analysis, this suggests the potential for a 40% increase in the near term.
library(tidyverse) library(tidyquant) library(timetk) #Ethereum (ETH-USD) df_eth <- tq_get("ETH-USD") %>% select(date, close) #Anomaly Plot df_eth %>% filter(date >= last(date) - months(12)) %>% anomalize(date, close) %>% plot_anomalies(date, .line_size = 1, .line_type = 1, .interactive = FALSE, .title = "Trend-<span style= 'color:red;'>Anomaly</span> Chart of Ethereum ETH") + ggrepel::geom_text_repel( data = . %>% slice_tail(n = 1), aes(label = paste0("$",format(round(recomposed_l2, 0), big.mark = ",")), x= date, y = recomposed_l2), hjust = 1, vjust = .5, nudge_x = 0.5, fontface = "bold", family = "Roboto Slab", size = 6, color = "dimgray", segment.color = NA ) + ggrepel::geom_text_repel( data = . %>% slice_tail(n = 1), aes(label = paste0("$",format(round(observed , 0), big.mark = ",")), x= date, y = observed), hjust = 1, vjust = .5, nudge_x = 0.5, fontface = "bold", family = "Roboto Slab", size = 6, color = "black", segment.color = NA ) + geom_line(size = 0.2) + scale_y_continuous(labels = scales::label_currency()) + scale_x_date(expand = expansion(mult = c(.1, .25)), labels = scales::label_date("%b %Y")) + theme_minimal(base_family = "Roboto Slab", base_size = 18) + theme(legend.position = "none", panel.grid = element_blank(), axis.text = element_text(face = "bold"), #axis.text.x = element_text(angle = 60, hjust = 1, vjust = 1), plot.background = element_rect(fill = "azure", color = "azure"), panel.grid.major.x = element_line(linetype = "dashed", color = "gray"), panel.grid.major.y = element_line(linetype = "dashed", color = "gray"), plot.title = ggtext::element_markdown(face = "bold", hjust = 0.5))
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