# Visualize monthly precipitation anomalies

**R on Dominic Royé**, and kindly contributed to R-bloggers]. (You can report issue about the content on this page here)

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Normally when we visualize monthly precipitation anomalies, we simply use a bar graph indicating negative and positive values with red and blue. However, it does not explain the general context of these anomalies. For example, what was the highest or lowest anomaly in each month? In principle, we could use a *boxplot* to visualize the distribution of the anomalies, but in this particular case they would not fit aesthetically, so we should look for an alternative. Here I present a very useful graphic form.

## Packages

In this post we will use the following packages:

Package | Description |
---|---|

tidyverse | Collection of packages (visualization, manipulation): ggplot2, dplyr, purrr, etc. |

readr | Import data |

ggthemes | Themes for ggplot2 |

lubridate | Easy manipulation of dates and times |

cowplot | Easy creation of multiple graphics with ggplot2 |

#we install the packages if necessary if(!require("tidyverse")) install.packages("tidyverse") if(!require("ggthemes")) install.packages("broom") if(!require("cowplot")) install.packages("fs") if(!require("lubridate")) install.packages("lubridate") #packages library(tidyverse) #include readr library(ggthemes) library(cowplot) library(lubridate)

## Preparing the data

First we import the daily precipitation of the selected weather station (download). We will use data from Santiago de Compostela (Spain) accessible through ECA&D.

### Step 1: import the data

We not only import the data in *csv* format, but we also make the first changes. We skip the first 21 rows that contain information about the weather station. In addition, we convert the date to the `date`

class and replace missing values (-9999) with `NA`

. The precipitation is given in 0.1 mm, therefore, we must divide the values by 10. Then we select the columns *DATE* and *RR*, and rename them.

data <- read_csv("RR_STAID001394.txt", skip = 21) %>% mutate(DATE = ymd(DATE), RR = ifelse(RR == -9999, NA, RR/10)) %>% select(DATE:RR) %>% rename(date = DATE, pr = RR)

## Parsed with column specification: ## cols( ## STAID = col_double(), ## SOUID = col_double(), ## DATE = col_double(), ## RR = col_double(), ## Q_RR = col_double() ## )

data

## # A tibble: 27,606 x 2 ## date pr ## <date> <dbl> ## 1 1943-11-01 0.6 ## 2 1943-11-02 0 ## 3 1943-11-03 0 ## 4 1943-11-04 0 ## 5 1943-11-05 0 ## 6 1943-11-06 0 ## 7 1943-11-07 0 ## 8 1943-11-08 0 ## 9 1943-11-09 0 ## 10 1943-11-10 0 ## # ... with 27,596 more rows

### Step 2: creating monthly values

In the second step we calculate the monthly amounts of precipitation. To do this, a) we limit the period to the years after 1950, b) we add the month with its labels and the year as variables.

data <- mutate(data, mo = month(date, label = TRUE), yr = year(date)) %>% filter(date >= "1950-01-01") %>% group_by(yr, mo) %>% summarise(prs = sum(pr, na.rm = TRUE)) data

## # A tibble: 833 x 3 ## # Groups: yr [70] ## yr mo prs ## <dbl> <ord> <dbl> ## 1 1950 Jan 55.6 ## 2 1950 Feb 349. ## 3 1950 Mar 85.8 ## 4 1950 Apr 33.4 ## 5 1950 May 272. ## 6 1950 Jun 111. ## 7 1950 Jul 35.4 ## 8 1950 Aug 76.4 ## 9 1950 Sep 85 ## 10 1950 Oct 53 ## # ... with 823 more rows

### Step 3: estimating anomalies

Now we must estimate the normals of each month and join this table to our main data in order to calculate the monthly anomaly. We express the anomalies in percentage and subtract 100 to set the average to 0. In addition, we create a variable which indicates if the anomaly is negative or positive, and another with the date.

pr_ref <- filter(data, yr > 1981, yr <= 2010) %>% group_by(mo) %>% summarise(pr_ref = mean(prs)) data <- left_join(data, pr_ref, by = "mo") data <- mutate(data, anom = (prs*100/pr_ref)-100, date = str_c(yr, as.numeric(mo), 1, sep = "-") %>% ymd(), sign= ifelse(anom > 0, "pos", "neg"))

We can do a first test graph of anomalies (the classic one), for that we filter the year 2018. In this case we use a bar graph, remember that by default the function `geom_bar()`

applies the counting of the variable. However, in this case we know `y`

, hence we indicate with the argument `stat = "identity"`

that it should use the given value in `aes()`

.

filter(data, yr == 2018) %>% ggplot(aes(date, anom, fill = sign)) + geom_bar(stat = "identity", show.legend = FALSE) + scale_x_date(date_breaks = "month", date_labels = "%b") + scale_y_continuous(breaks = seq(-100, 100, 20)) + scale_fill_manual(values = c("#99000d", "#034e7b")) + labs(y = "Precipitation anomaly (%)", x = "") + theme_hc()

### Step 4: calculating the statistical metrics

In this last step we estimate the maximum, minimum value, the 25%/75% quantiles and the interquartile range per month of the entire time series.

data_norm <- group_by(data, mo) %>% summarise(mx = max(anom), min = min(anom), q25 = quantile(anom, .25), q75 = quantile(anom, .75), iqr = q75-q25) data_norm

## # A tibble: 12 x 6 ## mo mx min q25 q75 iqr ## <ord> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> <dbl> ## 1 Jan 193. -89.6 -43.6 56.3 99.9 ## 2 Feb 320. -96.5 -51.2 77.7 129. ## 3 Mar 381. -100 -40.6 88.2 129. ## 4 Apr 198. -93.6 -51.2 17.1 68.3 ## 5 May 141. -90.1 -45.2 17.0 62.2 ## 6 Jun 419. -99.3 -58.2 50.0 108. ## 7 Jul 311. -98.2 -77.3 27.1 104. ## 8 Aug 264. -100 -68.2 39.8 108. ## 9 Sep 241. -99.2 -64.9 48.6 113. ## 10 Oct 220. -99.0 -54.5 4.69 59.2 ## 11 Nov 137. -98.8 -44.0 39.7 83.7 ## 12 Dec 245. -91.8 -49.8 36.0 85.8

## Creating the graph

To create the anomaly graph with legend it is necessary to separate the main graph from the legends.

### Part 1

In this first part we are adding layer by layer the different elements: 1) the range of anomalies maximum-minimum 2) the interquartile range and 3) the anomalies of the year 2018.

#range of anomalies maximum-minimum g1.1 <- ggplot(data_norm)+ geom_crossbar(aes(x = mo, y = 0, ymin = min, ymax = mx), fatten = 0, fill = "grey90", colour = "NA") g1.1

#adding interquartile range g1.2 <- g1.1 + geom_crossbar(aes(x = mo, y = 0, ymin = q25, ymax = q75), fatten = 0, fill = "grey70") g1.2

#adding anomalies of the year 2018 g1.3 <- g1.2 + geom_crossbar(data = filter(data, yr == 2018), aes(x = mo, y = 0, ymin = 0, ymax = anom, fill = sign), fatten = 0, width = 0.7, alpha = .7, colour = "NA", show.legend = FALSE) g1.3

Finally we change some last style settings.

g1 <- g1.3 + geom_hline(yintercept = 0)+ scale_fill_manual(values=c("#99000d","#034e7b"))+ scale_y_continuous("Precipitation anomaly (%)", breaks = seq(-100, 500, 25), expand = c(0, 5))+ labs(x = "", title = "Precipitation anomaly in Santiago de Compostela 2018", caption="Dominic Royé (@dr_xeo) | Data: eca.knmi.nl")+ theme_hc() g1

### Part 2

We still need a legend. First we create it for the normals.

#legend data legend <- filter(data_norm, mo == "Jan") legend_lab <- gather(legend, stat, y, mx:q75) %>% mutate(stat = factor(stat, stat, c("maximum", "minimum", "Quantile 25%", "Quantile 75%")) %>% as.character()) #legend graph g2 <- legend %>% ggplot()+ geom_crossbar(aes(x = mo, y = 0, ymin = min, ymax = mx), fatten = 0, fill = "grey90", colour = "NA", width = 0.2) + geom_crossbar(aes(x = mo, y = 0, ymin = q25, ymax = q75), fatten = 0, fill = "grey70", width = 0.2) + geom_text(data = legend_lab, aes(x = mo, y = y+c(12,-8,-10,12), label = stat), fontface = "bold", size = 2) + annotate("text", x = 1.18, y = 40, label = "Period 1950-2018", angle = 90, size = 3) + theme_void() + theme(plot.margin = unit(c(0, 0, 0, 0), "cm")) g2

Second, we create another legend for the current anomalies.

#legend data legend2 <- filter(data, yr == 1950, mo %in% c("Jan","Feb")) %>% ungroup() %>% select(mo, anom, sign) legend2[2,1] <- "Jan" legend_lab2 <- data.frame(mo = rep("Jan", 3), anom= c(110, 3, -70), label = c("Positive anomaly", "Average", "Negative anomaly")) #legend graph g3 <- ggplot() + geom_bar(data = legend2, aes(x = mo, y = anom, fill = sign), alpha = .6, colour = "NA", stat = "identity", show.legend = FALSE, width = 0.2) + geom_segment(aes(x = .85, y = 0, xend = 1.15, yend = 0), linetype = "dashed") + geom_text(data = legend_lab2, aes(x = mo, y = anom+c(10,5,-13), label = label), fontface = "bold", size = 2) + annotate("text", x = 1.25, y = 20, label ="Reference 1971-2010", angle = 90, size = 3) + scale_fill_manual(values = c("#99000d", "#034e7b")) + theme_void() + theme(plot.margin = unit(c(0, 0, 0, 0), "cm")) g3

### Part 3

Finally, we only have to join the graph and the legends with the help of the `cowplot`

package. The main function of `cowplot`

is `plot_grid()`

which is used for combining different graphs. However, in this case it is necessary to use more flexible functions to create less common formats. The `ggdraw()`

function configures the basic layer of the graph, and the functions that are intended to operate on this layer start with `draw_*`

.

p <- ggdraw() + draw_plot(g1, x = 0, y = .3, width = 1, height = 0.6) + draw_plot(g2, x = 0, y = .15, width = .2, height = .15) + draw_plot(g3, x = 0.08, y = .15, width = .2, height = .15) p

save_plot("pr_anomaly2016_scq.png", p, dpi = 300, base_width = 12.43, base_height = 8.42)

## Multiple facets

In this section we will make the same graph as in the previous one, but for several years.

### Part 1

First we need to filter again by set of years, in this case from 2016 to 2018, using the operator `%in%`

, we also add the function `facet_grid()`

to `ggplot`

, which allows us to plot the graph according to a variable. The formula used for the facet function is similar to the use in models: `variable_by_row ~ variable_by_column`

. When we do not have a variable in the column, we should use the `.`

.

#range of anomalies maximum-minimum g1.1 <- ggplot(data_norm)+ geom_crossbar(aes(x = mo, y = 0, ymin = min, ymax = mx), fatten = 0, fill = "grey90", colour = "NA") g1.1

#adding the interquartile range g1.2 <- g1.1 + geom_crossbar(aes(x = mo, y = 0, ymin = q25, ymax = q75), fatten = 0, fill = "grey70") g1.2

#adding the anomalies of the year 2016-2018 g1.3 <- g1.2 + geom_crossbar(data = filter(data, yr %in% 2016:2018), aes(x = mo, y = 0, ymin = 0, ymax = anom, fill = sign), fatten = 0, width = 0.7, alpha = .7, colour = "NA", show.legend = FALSE) + facet_grid(yr ~ .) g1.3

Finally we change some last style settings.

g1 <- g1.3 + geom_hline(yintercept = 0)+ scale_fill_manual(values=c("#99000d","#034e7b"))+ scale_y_continuous("Anomalía de precipitación (%)", breaks = seq(-100, 500, 50), expand = c(0, 5))+ labs(x = "", title = "Anomalía de precipitación en Santiago de Compostela", caption="Dominic Royé (@dr_xeo) | Datos: eca.knmi.nl")+ theme_hc() g1

We use the same legend created for the previous graph.

## Part 2

Finally, we join the graph and the legends with the help of the `cowplot`

package. The only thing we must adjust here are the arguments in the `draw_plot()`

function to correctly place the different parts.

p <- ggdraw() + draw_plot(g1, x = 0, y = .18, width = 1, height = 0.8) + draw_plot(g2, x = 0, y = .08, width = .2, height = .15) + draw_plot(g3, x = 0.08, y = .08, width = .2, height = .15) p

save_plot("pr_anomaly20162018_scq.png", p, dpi = 300, base_width = 12.43, base_height = 8.42)

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