A tweet flashed by a couple of days ago hoping that a warm October might indicate a cold winter:
So that warm October – cold winter theory… http://t.co/wlqLy8P2xn—
Winterhighland (@winterhighland) October 18, 2014
It’s a straightforward enough hypothesis, although one I think we all can agree seems a little far fetched. Given I have UK regional data all ready from some previous quick analyses (Scottish winter weather and improving Septembers) I thought I’d have a quick explore.
As you can see, it’s just noise. Still, as my supervisor says – ‘a null result in still a result’. So the conclusion I draw is that October temperature is not an indicator of winter (DJF) temperature.
You can access the code for the climate data work here.