I have a new post up over at Fantasy Ball Junkie looking at the value of closers in H2H leagues from here on out. I simply simulated in the same way as the Stolen Bases and Home Runs articles from before. Saves are an interesting bunch, and it really depends on the dispersion of closers in your league. It also depends a large amount on the size of the league. In a 20-team league, 2 closers is likely enough to take down just about everyone else. On the other hand, in a 10-team league, if you have a single closer, he’s pretty much worthless to you for winning Saves (though, they can still help with ERA, WHIP and K’s).
I’ve been missing lately because I’m working (just about done) on my qualifying exams here, beginning to develop and plan a new class that I’m teaching this fall on methodology and analytical tools in sport management, and also working on a consulting project for a pro team who I won’t name here. It’s all been fun (well, not the exam part) and I just haven’t been able to get on here and post anything meaningful. Same goes for FBJ until my post yesterday. We still update regularly with Quick Hits though, so keep an eye on the site. It’s likely that we’ll begin covering football in the coming weeks. I’m hoping to apply the same kind of simulation technique to football with points, so keep an eye out for that.