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Written by: Alicja Gosiewska
In applied machine learning, there are opinions that we need to choose between interpretability and accuracy. However in field of the Interpretable Machine Learning, there are more and more new ideas for explaining black-box models. One of the best known method for local explanations is SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP).
The SHAP method is used to calculate influences of variables on the particular observation. This method is based on Shapley values, a technique borrowed from the game theory. SHAP was introduced by Scott M. Lundberg and Su-In Lee in A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictions NIPS paper. Originally it was implemented in the Python library shap.
The R package shapper is a port of the Python library shap. In this post we show the functionalities of shapper. The examples are provided on titanic_train data set for classification.
The shapper wraps up the Python library, therefore installation requires a bit more effort than installation of an ordinary R package.
Install the R package shapper
First of all we need to install shapper, this may be the stable release from CRAN
or the developer version form GitHub.
Install the Python library shap
Before you run shapper, make sure that you have installed Python.
Python library shap is required to use shapper. The shap can be installed both by Python or R. To install it through R, you an use function install_shap() from the shapper package.
If you experience any problems related to the installation of Python libraries or evaluation of Python code, see the reticulate documentation. The shapper access Python within reticulate, therefore the solution to the problem is likely to be in there ;-).
Would you survive sinking of the RMS Titanic?
The example usage is presented on the titanic_train dataset from the R package titanic. We will predict the Survived status. The other variables used by the model are: Pclass, Sex, Age, SibSp, Parch, Fare and Embarked.
library("titanic") titanic <- titanic_train[,c("Survived", "Pclass", "Sex", "Age", "SibSp", "Parch", "Fare", "Embarked")] titanic$Survived <- factor(titanic$Survived) titanic$Sex <- factor(titanic$Sex) titanic$Embarked <- factor(titanic$Embarked) titanic <- na.omit(titanic) head(titanic) ## Survived Pclass Sex Age SibSp Parch Fare Embarked ## 1 0 3 male 22 1 0 7.2500 S ## 2 1 1 female 38 1 0 71.2833 C ## 3 1 3 female 26 0 0 7.9250 S ## 4 1 1 female 35 1 0 53.1000 S ## 5 0 3 male 35 0 0 8.0500 S ## 7 0 1 male 54 0 0 51.8625 S
Let’s build a model
Let’s see what are our chances assessed by the random forest model.
library("randomForest") set.seed(123) model_rf <- randomForest(Survived ~ . , data = titanic) model_rf ## ## Call: ## randomForest(formula = Survived ~ ., data = titanic) ## Type of random forest: classification ## Number of trees: 500 ## No. of variables tried at each split: 2 ## ## OOB estimate of error rate: 18.63% ## Confusion matrix: ## 0 1 class.error ## 0 384 40 0.09433962 ## 1 93 197 0.32068966
Prediction to be explained
Let’s assume that we want to explain the prediction of a particular observation (male, 8 years old, traveling 1-st class embarked at C, without parents and siblings.
new_passanger <- data.frame( Pclass = 1, Sex = factor("male", levels = c("female", "male")), Age = 8, SibSp = 0, Parch = 0, Fare = 72, Embarked = factor("C", levels = c("","C","Q","S")) )
Model prediction for this observation is .558 for survival.
predict(model_rf, new_passanger, type = "prob") ## 0 1 ## 1 0.442 0.558 ## attr(,"class") ##  "matrix" "votes"
Here shapper starts
To use the function shap() function (alias for individual_variable_effect()) we need four elements
- a model,
- a data set,
- a function that calculated scores (predict function),
- an instance (or instances) to be explained.
The shap() function can be used directly with these four arguments, but for the simplicity here we are using the DALEX package with preimplemented predict functions.
library("DALEX") exp_rf <- explain(model_rf, data = titanic[,-1])
The explainer is an object that wraps up a model and meta-data. Meta data consists of, at least, the data set used to fit model and observations to explain.
And now it’s enough to generate SHAP attributions with explainer for RF model.
library("shapper") ive_rf <- shap(exp_rf, new_observation = new_passanger) ive_rf ## Pclass Sex Age SibSp Parch Fare Embarked _id_ _ylevel_ _yhat_ ## 1 1 male 8 0 0 72 C 1 0.558 ## 1.1 1 male 8 0 0 72 C 1 0.558 ## 1.2 1 male 8 0 0 72 C 1 0.558 ## 1.3 1 male 8 0 0 72 C 1 0.558 ## 1.4 1 male 8 0 0 72 C 1 0.558 ## 1.5 1 male 8 0 0 72 C 1 0.558 ## _yhat_mean_ _vname_ _attribution_ _sign_ _label_ ## 1 0.3672941 Pclass 0.070047752 + randomForest ## 1.1 0.3672941 Sex -0.154519708 - randomForest ## 1.2 0.3672941 Age 0.143046212 + randomForest ## 1.3 0.3672941 SibSp 0.003154522 + randomForest ## 1.4 0.3672941 Parch -0.018111585 - randomForest ## 1.5 0.3672941 Fare 0.086728705 + randomForest
To generate a plot of Shapley values you can simply pass an object of class importance_variable_effect to a plot() function. Since we are interested in the class Survived = 1 we may add additional parameter that filter only selected classes.
Labels on y-axis show values of variables for this particular observation. Black arrows show predictions of model, in this case, probabilities of each status. Other arrows show effect of each variable on this prediction. Effects may be positive or negative and they sum up to the value of prediction.
On this plot we can see that model predicts that the passenger will survive. Changes are higher due to young age and 1st class, only the Sex = male decreases chances of survival for this observation.
It is useful to contrast prediction of two models. Here we will show how to use shapper for such contrastive explanations.
We will compare randomForest with svm implemented in the e1071.
library("e1071") model_svm <- svm(Survived~. , data = titanic, probability = TRUE) model_svm ## ## Call: ## svm(formula = Survived ~ ., data = titanic, probability = TRUE) ## ## ## Parameters: ## SVM-Type: C-classification ## SVM-Kernel: radial ## cost: 1 ## gamma: 0.1 ## ## Number of Support Vectors: 338
This model predict 32.5% chances of survival.
attr(predict(model_svm, newdata = new_passanger, probability = TRUE), "probabilities") ## 0 1 ## 1 0.6748768 0.3251232 <pre> Again, we create an explainer that wraps model, data and the predict function. <pre> exp_svm <- explain(model_svm, data = titanic[,-1]) ive_svm <- shap(exp_svm, new_passanger)
Shapley values plot may be modified. To show more than one model you can pass more individual_variable_plot objects.
To see only attributions use option show_predcited = FALSE.
plot(ive_rf, show_predcited = FALSE)
Documentation and more examples are available at https://modeloriented.github.io/shapper/. The stable version of the package is on CRAN, the development version is on GitHub (https://github.com/ModelOriented/shapper). Shapper is a part of the DALEX universe.