In this post we'll test three different cyclically-adjusted valuation measures: CAPE (earnings), CAPD (dividends) and CAPB (book value). CAPE is calculated like the P/E ratio, but by dividing the current real price with the last ten year's average inflation-adjusted earnings. CAPD uses dividends instead of earnings, and CAPB uses book value. We'll test the optimal measurement (i.e. forward-looking return)...