A flexible framework for probabilistic forecasting of circular data is introduced, using distributional regression trees and random forests based on the von Mises distribution. Citation Lang MN, Schlosser L, Hothorn T, Mayr GJ,...

A flexible framework for probabilistic forecasting of circular data is introduced, using distributional regression trees and random forests based on the von Mises distribution. Citation Lang MN, Schlosser L, Hothorn T, Mayr GJ,...

Modular R tools for Bayesian regression are provided by bamlss: From classic MCMC-based GLMs and GAMs to distributional models using the lasso or gradient boosting. Citation Umlauf N, Klein N, Simon T, Zeileis A (2019). “bamlss...

Modular R tools for Bayesian regression are provided by bamlss: From classic MCMC-based GLMs and GAMs to distributional models using the lasso or gradient boosting. Citation Umlauf N, Klein N, Simon T, Zeileis A (2019). “baml...

In the controversy over Hurricane Dorian, US President Donald Trump repeatedly claimed that early forecasts showed a high probability of Alabama being hit. We demonstrate that a potentially confusing rainbow color map in the official weather forecasts may have attributed to Trump overestimating the risk. Hurricane Dorian and the Alabama ...

In the controversy over Hurricane Dorian, US President Donald Trump repeatedly claimed that early forecasts showed a high probability of Alabama being hit. We demonstrate that a potentially confusing rainbow color map in the official weather ...

Conference presentation about the colorspace toolbox for manipulating and assessing color palettes at useR! 2019 in Toulouse: Slides, video, replication materials, and working paper. Abstract (Authors: Achim Zeileis, Jason C. F...

Conference presentation about the colorspace toolbox for manipulating and assessing color palettes at useR! 2019 in Toulouse: Slides, video, replication materials, and working paper. Abstract (Authors: Achim Zeileis, Jason C. F...

The effect of covariates on correlations in psychometric networks is assessed with either model-based recursive partitioning (MOB) or conditional inference trees (CTree). Citation Jones PJ, Mair P, Simon T, Zeileis A (2019). ?...

The effect of covariates on correlations in psychometric networks is assessed with either model-based recursive partitioning (MOB) or conditional inference trees (CTree). Citation Jones PJ, Mair P, Simon T, Zeileis A (2019). “N...

The significance tests underlying the unbiased tree algorithms CTree, MOB, and GUIDE are embedded into a unifying framework. This allows to assess relative strengths and weaknesses in a variety of setups, highlighting the advantages of score-...

The significance tests underlying the unbiased tree algorithms CTree, MOB, and GUIDE are embedded into a unifying framework. This allows to assess relative strengths and weaknesses in a variety of setups, highlighting the advantages of score-...

Using a random forest ensemble learner we obtain probabilistic forecasts for the FIFA Women's World Cup in France: The clear favorite is defending champion USA followed, with some margin, by host France, England, and Germany. ...

Personalized treatment effects can be estimated easily with model-based trees and model-based random forests using the R package model4you. Citation Heidi Seibold, Achim Zeileis, Torsten Hothorn (2019). “model4you: An R Packa...