# Four (4) Different Ways to Calculate DCF Based ‘Equity Cash Flow (ECF)’ – Part 4 of 4

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This represents

**Part 4**of a

**4-part series**relative to the calculation of

**Equity Cash Flow**(

**ECF**) using

**R**. If you missed any of the prior posts, be certain to reference them before proceeding. Content in this section builds on previously described information/data.

**Part 3**of

**4**prior post is located here – Part 3 of 4 .

**‘ECF – Method 4’**differs slightly from the prior 3 versions. Specifically, it represents ECF with an

__adjustment__. By definition, Equity Value (

**E**) is calculated as the present value of a series of Equity Cash Flow (

**ECF**) discounted at the appropriate discount rate, the cost of levered equity capital,

**Ke**. When using forward rate discounting, the equation for

**E**is as follows:

The cost of levered equity capital (Ke) is shown below.

Where

Many DCF practitioners

__incorrectly__assume the cost of equity capital (

**Ke**) is

__constant__in all periods. The above equation indicates

**Ke**can easily vary over time even if

**Ku**,

**Kd**, and

**T**are all

__constant__values. Assuming a constant

**Ke**value when such does not apply violates a basic premise of valuation, the

**value additivity rule**, Debt Value (

**D**) + Equity Value (

**E**) = Asset Value (

**V**). Substituting the cost of equity capital (

**Ke**) into the Equity valuation (

**E**) equation yield this.

Note in the above valuation equation, equity value is a function of itself. We require Equity Value (

**E**) in the prior period (t-1) in order to obtain the discount rate (

**Ke**) for the current period “t.” This current period discount rate is used to calculate prior period’s equity value. This is clearly a circular calculation, as Equity Value (

**E**) in the prior period (t-1) exists on both sides of the equation. While Excel solutions with intentional circular references such as this can be problematic, R experiences no such problems in proper iterative solution. Even so, we can completely bypass calculation circularity altogether and arrive at the correct iterative, circular solution. Using simple 8

^{th}grade math, a noncircular equity valuation equation is derived. Note this new noncircular equation requires a noncircular discount rate (

**Ku**) and a noncircular numerator term in which to discount. All calculation circularity is eliminated in the equity valuation equation. The numerator includes a noncircular adjustment to Equity Cash Flow (

**ECF**).

The 2 noncircular discount rates (

**Ku**,

**Kd**) are calculated using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (

**CAPM**).

**The noncircular debt valuation (**

**D**) equation using forward rate (

**Kd**) discounting is provided below.

Reference Part

**2**of

**4**in this series for the calculation of debt cash flow (

**CFd**).

**Update ‘data’ tibble**

data <- data %>% mutate(Rf = rep(0.03, 6), MRP = rep(0.04, 6), Bd = rep(0.2, 6), Bu = rep(1.1, 6), Kd = Rf + Bd * MRP, Ku = Rf + Bu * MRP, N = np + cpltd + LTD, # All interest bearing debt CFd = ie - (N - lag(N, default=0)), ECF3 = ni - ii*(1-T_) - ( Ebv - lag(Ebv, default=0) ) + ( MS - lag(MS, default=0)) )

**View tibble**

rotate(data)

The R code below calculates Debt Value (

**D**) and Equity Value (

**E**) each period. The function sum these 2 values to obtain asset value (

**V**).

**R Code – ‘valuation’ R function**

valuation <- function(a) { library(tidyverse) n <- length(a$bd) - 1 Rf <- a$Rf MRP <- a$MRP Ku <- a$Ku Kd <- a$Kd T_ <- a$T_ # Flow values CFd <- a$CFd ECF <- a$ECF3 # Initialize valuation vectors to zero by Year d <- rep(0, n+1 ) # Initialize debt value to zero each Year e <- rep(0, n+1 ) # Initialize equity value to zero each Year # Calculate debt and equity value by period in reverse order using discount rates 'Kd' and 'Ku', repsectively for (t in (n+1):2) # reverse step through loop from period 'n+1' to 2 { # Debt Valuation discounting 1-period at the forward discount rate, Kd[t] d[t-1] <- ( d[t] + CFd[t] ) / (1 + Kd[t] ) # Equity Valuation discounting 1-period at the forward discount rate, Ku[t] e[t-1] <- ( e[t] + ECF[t] - (d[t-1])*(Ku[t]-Kd[t])*(1-T_[t]) ) / (1 + Ku[t] ) } # Asset valuation by Year (Using Value Additivity Equation) v = d + e npv_0 <- round(e[1],0) + round(ECF[1],0) npv_0 <- c(npv_0, rep(NaN,n) ) valuation <- as_tibble( cbind(a$Year, T_, Rf, MRP, Ku, Kd, Ku-Kd, ECF, -lag(d, default=0)*(1-T_)*(Ku-Kd), ECF - lag(d, default=0)*(1-T_)*(Ku-Kd), d, e, v, d/e, c( ECF[1], rep(NaN,n)), npv_0 ) ) names(valuation) <- c("Year", "T", "Rf", "MRP", "Ku", "Kd", "Ku_Kd", "ECF", "ECF_adj", "ADJ_ECF", "D", "E", "V", "D_E_Ratio", "ECF_0", "NPV_0") return(rotate(valuation)) }

**View R output**

valuation <- valuation( data ) round(valuation, 5)

This method of noncircular equity valuation (

**E**) is simple and straightforward. Unfortunately, DCF practitioners tend to incorrectly treat

**Ke**as a noncircular calculation using CAPM. That widely used approach violates the

**value additivity rule**.

Additionally, there is a widely held belief the Adjusted Present Value (

**APV**) asset valuation approach is the only one that provides a means of calculating asset value in a noncircular fashion.

**Citation:**Fernandez, Pablo, (August 27, 2020), Valuing Companies by Cash Flow Discounting: Only APV Does Not Require Iteration.

Though the

**APV**method is almost 50 years old, there is little agreement as to how to correctly calculate one of the model’s 2 primary components – the value of interest expense tax shields. The above 8

^{th}grade approach to equity valuation (

**E**) eliminates the need to use the

**APV**model for asset valuation if calculation by noncircular means is the goal. Simply sum the 2 noncircular valuation equations below (

**D + E**). They ensure the enforcement of the

**value-additivity rule**(

**V = D + E**).

**Valuation Additivity Rule**

(Assuming debt and equity are the 2 sources of financing)

In summary,

**circular**equity valuation (

**E**) is entirely

**eliminated**using simple

**8**.

^{th}grade math**Adding this**

__noncircular__equity valuation (

**E**) solution to

__noncircular__debt valuation (

**D**) results in

__noncircular__asset valuation (

**V**). There is no need to further academically squabble over the correct methodology for valuing tax shields relative to the

__noncircular__

**APV**asset valuation model. Tax shields are not separately discounted using the above approach.

This example is taken from my newly published textbook, ‘

**Advanced Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Valuation using R**.’ The above method is discussed in far greater detail, including the requisite 8

^{th}grade math, along with development of the integrated financials using

**R**. Included in the text are

**40+**advanced

**DCF**valuation models – all of which are

**value-additivity compliant**.

Typical corporate finance texts do

__not__teach this very important concept. As a result, DCF practitioners often unknowingly violate the immensely important

**value-additivity rule**. This modeling error is closely akin to violating the

**accounting equation**

**(Book Assets = Book Liabilities + Book Equity**) when constructing pro form balance sheets used in a DCF valuation.

For some reason, violation of the

**accounting equation**is considered a valuation sin, while violation of the

**value-additivity rule**is a well-established practice in DCF valuation land.

Reference my website for additional details.

**https://www.leewacc.com/**

**Next up, 10 Different, Mathematically Equivalent Ways to Calculate Free Cash Flow (FCF) …**

**Brian K. Lee, MBA, PRM, CMA, CFA**

Four (4) Different Ways to Calculate DCF Based ‘Equity Cash Flow (ECF)’ – Part 4 of 4 was first posted on August 17, 2021 at 4:03 pm.

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