Posts Tagged ‘ stocks ’

Utility Spread and Financial Turbulence Part 2 with Utility Slope

May 24, 2011
By
Utility Spread and Financial Turbulence Part 2 with Utility Slope

THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.  YOU ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR OWN GAINS AND LOSSES. I did not intend for this to be a two-part series but I just could not be complacent with Utility Spread and Financial Turbulence (for avid readers, there was a sm...

Read more »

Utility Spread and Financial Turbulence

May 23, 2011
By
Utility Spread and Financial Turbulence

THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.  YOU ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR OWN GAINS AND LOSSES. In Long XLU Short SPY Part 2 (More History), I explored the defensive nature of the spread and its potential as a bond substitute in troublesome periods for stocks...

Read more »

Long XLU Short SPY Part 2 (More History)

May 20, 2011
By
Long XLU Short SPY Part 2 (More History)

THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.  YOU ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR OWN GAINS AND LOSSES. The Fed is on a roll adding BAC ML Bond Indicies and now complete history for the four primary Dow Jones Indexes, so I wanted to extend my first post Long XLU Shor...

Read more »

Long XLU Short SPY

May 20, 2011
By
Long XLU Short SPY

THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.  YOU ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR OWN GAINS AND LOSSES. I spend my days and nights wondering what a bond manager should do if he/she doesn’t like bonds, but also cannot sit in 0% cash.  I generally dislike spreads...

Read more »

Russell Napier, ASIP in FT Says Emerging Market Currencies

May 17, 2011
By
Russell Napier, ASIP in FT Says Emerging Market Currencies

Clearly I have succumbed to confirmation bias, since my second favorite presentation from the CFA Institute Annual Conference this year came from Scotland native Russell Napier, ASIP who shares my views nearly completely http://video.ft.com/v/946244201...

Read more »

S&P 500 High Beta and Low Volatility Indexes and Powershares ETFs

May 5, 2011
By
S&P 500 High Beta and Low Volatility Indexes and Powershares ETFs

There must be a useful insight, concept, or system provided by the new S&P 500 High Beta and Low Volatility Indexes.  Now with the announcement by Powershares of etfs for these indicies http://www.invescopowershares.com/volatility/, any of the...

Read more »

CPI and US 10y Treasury Extreme –> System Idea

May 3, 2011
By
CPI and US 10y Treasury Extreme –> System Idea

When I see extremes, I feel compelled to explore. The US 10y Treasury yield is at an extreme versus the annualized 3 month CPI rate of change. From TimelyPortfolio Of course, I have to try to build a system around the idea.  While this 3 mont...

Read more »

First Answer to My Own Question-Combine LSPM and Mahalanobis

May 2, 2011
By
First Answer to My Own Question-Combine LSPM and Mahalanobis

I first wanted to thank http://www.fosstrading.com for the very kind and unexpected mention over the weekend.  You will notice almost all of my code contains some credit to Foss Trading for the examples and great packages.  I hate that I coul...

Read more »

Another Use of LSPM in Tactical Portfolio Allocation

April 29, 2011
By
Another Use of LSPM in Tactical Portfolio Allocation

After the slightly unconventional use of LSPM presented in Slightly Different Use of Ralph Vince’s Leverage Space Trading Model, I thought I should follow up with something that more closely resembles my interpretation of Ralph Vince’s book. LSPM s...

Read more »

Great FAJ Article on Statistical Measure of Financial Turbulence Part 3

April 26, 2011
By
Great FAJ Article on Statistical Measure of Financial Turbulence Part 3

Building on posts Great FAJ Article on Statistical Measure of Financial Turbulence and Great FAJ Article on Statistical Measure of Financial Turbulence Part 2, I will now build a system incorporating a new correlation-based measure of turbulence and a ...

Read more »