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THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. YOU ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR OWN GAINS AND LOSSES. I did not intend for this to be a two-part series but I just could not be complacent with Utility Spread and Financial Turbulence (for avid readers, there was a sm...

THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. YOU ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR OWN GAINS AND LOSSES. In Long XLU Short SPY Part 2 (More History), I explored the defensive nature of the spread and its potential as a bond substitute in troublesome periods for stocks...

THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. YOU ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR OWN GAINS AND LOSSES. The Fed is on a roll adding BAC ML Bond Indicies and now complete history for the four primary Dow Jones Indexes, so I wanted to extend my first post Long XLU Shor...

THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. YOU ARE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR OWN GAINS AND LOSSES. I spend my days and nights wondering what a bond manager should do if he/she doesn’t like bonds, but also cannot sit in 0% cash. I generally dislike spreads...

Clearly I have succumbed to confirmation bias, since my second favorite presentation from the CFA Institute Annual Conference this year came from Scotland native Russell Napier, ASIP who shares my views nearly completely http://video.ft.com/v/946244201...

There must be a useful insight, concept, or system provided by the new S&P 500 High Beta and Low Volatility Indexes. Now with the announcement by Powershares of etfs for these indicies http://www.invescopowershares.com/volatility/, any of the...

When I see extremes, I feel compelled to explore. The US 10y Treasury yield is at an extreme versus the annualized 3 month CPI rate of change. From TimelyPortfolio Of course, I have to try to build a system around the idea. While this 3 mont...

I first wanted to thank http://www.fosstrading.com for the very kind and unexpected mention over the weekend. You will notice almost all of my code contains some credit to Foss Trading for the examples and great packages. I hate that I coul...

After the slightly unconventional use of LSPM presented in Slightly Different Use of Ralph Vince’s Leverage Space Trading Model, I thought I should follow up with something that more closely resembles my interpretation of Ralph Vince’s book. LSPM s...

Building on posts Great FAJ Article on Statistical Measure of Financial Turbulence and Great FAJ Article on Statistical Measure of Financial Turbulence Part 2, I will now build a system incorporating a new correlation-based measure of turbulence and a ...