Overfitting is a problem when trying to predict financial returns. Perhaps you’ve heard that before. Some simple examples should clarify what overfitting is — and may surprise you. Polynomials Let’s suppose that the true expected return over a period of time is described by a polynomial. We can easily do this in R. The first … Continue reading...

Zero Inflated Models and Generalized Linear Mixed Models with R.
Zuur, Saveliev, Ieno (2012).