Posts Tagged ‘ overfitting ’

The devil of overfitting

March 27, 2011
The devil of overfitting

Overfitting is a problem when trying to predict financial returns.  Perhaps you’ve heard that before.  Some simple examples should clarify what overfitting is — and may surprise you. Polynomials Let’s suppose that the true expected return over a period of time is described by a polynomial. We can easily do this in R.  The first … Continue reading...

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