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Le Monde puzzle [52|solution]

January 1, 2011
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Le Monde puzzle [52|solution]

I have now received the first issue of Le Monde magazine, including the solution to puzzle #52 I solved just in time by simulated annealing! The trick is in using the following theorem: Iter(1,x,y) is divisible by 10x-1 if and only if y is divisible by 10x-1. Then the value to be found is divisible

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History makes Stat. Science!

December 31, 2010
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History makes Stat. Science!

While the above heading sounds like a title in reverse, its words are in the “correct” order in that our paper with George Casella, A Short History of Markov Chain Monte Carlo, has been accepted for publication by Statistical Science. This publication may sound weird when considering that the paper is also scheduled to appear

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R-Chart: Year End Wrap Up

December 31, 2010
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R-Chart: Year End Wrap Up

Thanks to everyone who visited and commented here at R-Chart over the last year!  Blogging has forced me to crystallize my thoughts and I hope others have benefited a bit from these meanderings.  It it great to interact with the&nbs...

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R-Chart: Year End Wrap Up

December 31, 2010
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R-Chart: Year End Wrap Up

Thanks to everyone who visited and commented here at R-Chart over the last year!  Blogging has forced me to crystallize my thoughts and I hope others have benefited a bit from these meanderings.  It it great to interact with the&nbs...

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Le Monde puzzle [52]

December 31, 2010
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Le Monde puzzle [52]

The last puzzle of the year in Le Monde reads as follows (as far as I understand its wording!): Iter(n,x,y) is the function Iter=function(n,x,y){ if (n==1){ output=trunc(y/10)+x*(y%%10) }else{ output=Iter(n-1,x,Iter(1,x,y))} return output } Find the seven-digit number z such that Iter(6,1,z)=12, Iter(6,2,z)=19, Iter(6,3,z)=29, and Iter(6,-1,z)=Iter(6,-2,z)=Iter(6,-3,z)=0. Obviously, the brute-force solution of listing all 90 million seven digit

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Blog year 2010 in review

December 30, 2010
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Blog year 2010 in review

The blog year started in August and consists of 30-something posts.  Here is a summary. Quant concepts backtesting: Backtesting — almost wordless cointegration: American TV does cointegration efficient frontier: Anomalies meet volatility implied alpha: Implied alpha — almost wordless portfolio theory: Ancient portfolio theory random walk: The tightrope of the random walk returns: A tale … Continue reading...

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More typos in Chapter 5

December 29, 2010
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More typos in Chapter 5

Following Ashley’s latest comments on Chapter 5 of Introducing Monte Carlo Methods with R, I realised Example 5.5 was totally off-the-mark! Not only the representation of the likelihood should have used prod instead of mean, not only the constant should call the val argument of integrate, not only integrate  uses lower and upper rather than

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nlm [unused argument(s) (iter = 1)]

December 28, 2010
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nlm [unused argument(s) (iter = 1)]

Ashley put the following comment on Chapter 5 of Introducing Monte Carlo Methods with R”: I am reading chapter 5. I try to reproduced the result on page 128. The R codes don’t work on my laptop. When I try to run the following codes on page 128 > for (i in 1:(nlm(like,sta)$it)){ + mmu=rbind(mmu,nlm(like,sta,iter=i)$est)}

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Poster at MCMSki III

December 28, 2010
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Poster at MCMSki III

Here is the poster presented at MCMSki III next week by Pierre Jacob about our joint paper on parallelisation: Filed under: R, Statistics, Travel Tagged: Adapski, MCMC, MCMSki, Metropolis-Hastings, Monte Carlo Statistical Methods, parallelisation, pos...

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Did you feel that?

December 23, 2010
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Did you feel that?

There was a small earthquake in northern England on Tuesday. Barry Rowlingson felt the quake (it rattled the photographs on his wall), but didn't know how big of a quake it was because he didn't know how close he was to the epicentre. The British Geological Survey hadn't yet announced the quake, but did give access to seismograph readings,...

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