For my Q2 2012 commentary, I tried multiple graphs to illustrate the disconnect of the US stock markets with the rest of the world. I think I finally settled on this simple Excel bar graph populated by Bloomberg data, but I thought some might lik...

The strategies used in Strategy Diversification in R were labeled as Strategy1 and Strategy2. Strategy1 Indicator: 52 week Simple Moving Average Entry Rule: Buy 1000 shares when price crosses and closes above 52 week Simple Moving Average Exit Rule: Exit all positions when prices crosses and closes below 52 week Simple Moving Average Classification: Long … Continue reading...

New events To R, or not to R, that is the question The Statistical Computing Section of the Royal Statistical Society presents a one-day event on 2012 June 29. The details of the day. See in particular the abstract for “Teaching statistics: a pain in the R?” by Andy Field — it involves a sheepdog … Continue reading...

A look at return variability for portfolio changes. The problem Suppose we make some change to our portfolio. At a later date we can see if that change was good or bad for the portfolio return. Say, for instance, that it helped by 16 basis points. How do we properly account for variability in that … Continue reading...

In part 2, we saw that adding a volatility filter to a single instrument test did little to improve performance or risk adjusted returns. How will the volatility filter impact a multiple instrument portfolio? In part 3 of the follow up, I will evaluate the impact of the volatility filter on a multiple instrument test. … Continue reading...

Diversification is hard to find nowadays because financial markets are becoming increasingly correlated. I found a good visually presentation of Cross Sectional Correlation of stocks in the S&P 500 index in the Trading correlation by D. Varadi and C. Rittenhouse article. Let’s compute and plot the average correlation among stocks in the S&P 500 index

Today I want to show how to use Volatility Position Sizing to improve strategy’s Risk Adjusted Performance. I will use the Average True Range (ATR) as a measure of Volatility and will increase allocation during low Volatility periods and will decrease allocation during high Volatility periods. Following are two good references that explain these strategy

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