In a previous post, I worked through the theory behind intervention analysis. In his time series course, University of Georgia political science professor Jamie Monogan demonstrates how to implement intervention analysis in R. The following examp...

THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. The information is provided for informational purposes only. In the Time Series Matching post, I used one to one mapping to the compute distance between the query(current pattern) and reference(historical time series). Following chart visualizes this concept. The distance is the sum of vertical lines. An alternative way to map

This is a quick post to address comments raised in the Time Series Matching post. I will show a very simple example of backtesting a Time Series Matching strategy using a distance weighted prediction. I have to warn you, the strategy’s performance is worse then the Buy and Hold. I used the code from Time

Cointegration can be a valuable tool in determining the mean reverting properties of 2 time series. A full description of cointegration can be found on Wikipedia. Essentially, it seeks to find stationary linear combinations of the two vectors. The below R code, which has been modified from here, will test two series for integration and...

Cointegration can be a valuable tool in determining the mean reverting properties of 2 time series. A full description of cointegration can be found on Wikipedia. Essentially, it seeks to find stationary linear combinations of the two vectors. The below R code, which has been modified from here, will test two series for integration and return the...