1723 search results for "time series"

AIB Stock Price, EGARCH-M, and rgarch

May 17, 2011
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AIB Stock Price, EGARCH-M, and rgarch

This post examines conditional heteroskedasticity models in the context of daily stock price data for Allied Irish Banks (AIB), specifically how to test for conditional heteroskedasticity in a series, how to approach model specification and estimation when time-varying volatility is present, and how to forecast with these models; all of this is done in R,

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Omega as Optimizer

May 16, 2011
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Omega as Optimizer

During Jan Straatman’s presentation, I tweeted Jan Straatman #cfa2011 In real life no normal distributions so use omega function to optimize actual returns After the presentation, I asked Jan his second choice for optimization after Omega, and he re...

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R-Bloggers

May 15, 2011
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R-Bloggers

This is my first post on the R-Bloggers feed. R-Bloggers is an excellent collection of R-related blogs and sites for R enthusiasts. Add it to your bookmark list, for those who haven’t already done so, and my thanks to those who maintain the site ...

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Cointegration, R, Irish Mortgage Debt and Property Prices

May 15, 2011
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Cointegration, R, Irish Mortgage Debt and Property Prices

As a follow-up to my post examining the stationarity of the new property price index, this post will briefly look at some of the dynamics of mortgage debt and property prices; all data is monthly, from the beginning of 2005 to March 2011. This will also serve as an illustration of the ‘vars‘ and ‘urca‘

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The New Irish House Price Index

May 14, 2011
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The New Irish House Price Index

On Friday, the CSO released a new house (and apartment) price index, for the national, Dublin, and national excluding Dublin regions. The release has been noted and covered by the great Irish Economy and Namawinelake blogs. I want to briefly look at some of the statistical properties of this series in more detail. Below is

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Potential Output and the Irish Output Gap

May 14, 2011
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Potential Output and the Irish Output Gap

One prominent feature of early degree-level macroeconomics courses is the concept of ‘potential output’, which one could roughly define as the level of output (GDP) at which inflation is not ‘accelerating’. Potential output is of interest to macroeconomists when analysing the question of output gaps and macroeconomic stabilisation policies by governments, whether that be in

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sab-R-metrics: Basics of LOESS Regression

May 11, 2011
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sab-R-metrics: Basics of LOESS Regression

Last week, I left you off at logistic regression. This week, I'll be pushing the limits of regression analysis a bit more with a smoothing technique called LOESS regression. There are a number of smoothing methods that can be used, such as Smoothing ...

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sab-R-metrics: Basics of LOESS Regression

May 11, 2011
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sab-R-metrics: Basics of LOESS Regression

Last week, I left you off at logistic regression. This week, I'll be pushing the limits of regression analysis a bit more with a smoothing technique called LOESS regression. There are a number of smoothing methods that can be used, such as Smoothing ...

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EC2 Trials and Tribulations, Part 1 (Web Crawling)

May 11, 2011
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EC2 Trials and Tribulations, Part 1 (Web Crawling)

Elastic Compute Cloud (EC2) is a service provided a Amazon Web Services that allows users to leverage computing power without the need to build and maintain servers, or spend money on special hardware. The idea is simple, the user “boots” up one or more machines and then accesses those machines as if they were logged into any other machine...

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Late to the party for R in Finance blogging

May 10, 2011
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Late to the party for R in Finance blogging

I meant to blog about the R/Finance conference during a lull, but I didn’t find too many. Unlike many conferences I’ve been to the structure of R/Finance was simple: one room and one speaker at a time. Relying on each … Continue reading →

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