1689 search results for "time series"

Monitoring Sources of Bond Return

April 8, 2011
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Monitoring Sources of Bond Return

Here is a way to monitor bond return sources in R.  In the next iteration, I will use CPI to add history to the series. From TimelyPortfolio So right now, you can expect about a 5% return from bonds.  How much of that is real return is u...

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Bond Market as a Casino Game Part 2

April 6, 2011
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Bond Market as a Casino Game Part 2

Before starting Part 2, please see Bonds as a Casino Game Part 1.   For the Monte Carlo random simulation purists, please ignore some unimportant technicalities in my simulation. To spoil the fun, here is the conclusion: Any way you look at ...

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Feed Your (Machine) Brain

April 3, 2011
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Feed Your (Machine) Brain

Few can tell you what goes into a chicken nugget, but most will agree that it's good for your brain. If you're a little sluggish and can't focus, what do you normally do? That's right, you pop a couple chicken nuggets. And similar to our brains, our al...

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Interestingness Measures

Interestingness Measures

Probably because I first encountered them somewhat late in my professional life, I am fascinated by categorical data types.  Without question, my favorite book on the subject is Alan Agresti’s Categorical Data Analysis (Wiley Series in Probabili...

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Bond Market as a Casino Game Part 1

April 1, 2011
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Bond Market as a Casino Game Part 1

With this post, I am doing something I try very hard to avoid, especially when communicating to my clients, and that is blurring the line between investing and gambling.  But after reading all of Reuven Brenner’s books and finishing Ralph Vince ...

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R ready to Deduce you

April 1, 2011
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R ready to Deduce you

Despite being one of the most powerful computing platforms, and being free at the same time, R still struggles against other statistical software, such as SPSS and SAS, in gaining mass appeal amongst users of statistical and market intelligence software. Many have cited the absence of a user-friendly graphical user interface (GUI)...

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R ready to Deduce you

April 1, 2011
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R ready to Deduce you

Despite being one of the most powerful computing platforms, and being free at the same time, R still struggles against other statistical software, such as SPSS and SAS, in gaining mass appeal amongst users of statistical and market intelligence software. Many have cited the absence of a user-friendly graphical user interface (GUI)...

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Long EEM Short IWM-How it Works in 3 Ways

March 31, 2011
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Long EEM Short IWM-How it Works in 3 Ways

Long EEM Short IWM potentially works in 3 ways: 1) See my last post “Asian Currency Opportunity” where currency undervaluation means potential gain of 20-50% versus the US$ and 50%-100% versus the Japanese Yen.  However, even absent the underv...

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Asian Currency Opportunity

March 31, 2011
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Asian Currency Opportunity

Asian currencies are fundamentally undervalued at an extreme level due to the Central Banks’ focus on the US$.  For those that regularly read my blog or happened to see me in SmartMoney, this will not surprise you, “And investors can also buy...

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The Leverage Space Trading Model

March 29, 2011
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The Leverage Space Trading Model

I finally got around to reading Ralph Vince’s latest The Leverage Space Trading Model (for a brief summary see this magazine article in Futures), and I’m happy to say that the book was very helpful in approach and example.  I especially enjoye...

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