1721 search results for "time series"

Criticism 1 of NHST: Good Tools for Individual Researchers are not Good Tools for Research Communities

May 10, 2012
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Introduction Over my years as a graduate student, I have built up a long list of complaints about the use of Null Hypothesis Significance Testing (NHST) in the empirical sciences. In the next few weeks, I’m planning to publish a series of blog posts, each of which will articulate one specific weakness of NHST. The

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Simple Spatial Correlograms for Cross-Country Analysis in R

May 9, 2012
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Simple Spatial Correlograms for Cross-Country Analysis in R

Accounting for temporal dependence in econometric analysis is important, as the presence of temporal dependence violates the assumption that observations are independent units. Historically, much less attention has been paid to correcting for spatial dependence, which, if present, also violates this independence assumption. The comparability of temporal and spatial dependence is useful for illustrating why

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The first version of my “inference from iterative simulation using parallel sequences” paper!

May 9, 2012
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From August 1990. It was in the form of a note sent to all the people in the statistics group of Bell Labs, where I’d worked that summer. To all: Here’s the abstract of the work I’ve done this summer. It’s stored in the file, /fs5/gelman/abstract.bell, and copies of the Figures 1-3 are on Trevor’s The post The...

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Multiplicative effects in sensory panel data

May 7, 2012
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Multiplicative effects in sensory panel data

In a previous post I used JAGS to build the Bayesian equivalent of a two-way ANOVA. Effects were determined of products, panelists and their interaction. In this post this model will be rebuild to provide a more simplified and advanced model. The inter...

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reshape (from base) Explained: Part II

May 5, 2012
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reshape (from base) Explained: Part II

Part II Explains More Complex  Wide to Long With base reshape  In part I of this base reshape tutorial we went over the basics of reshaping data with reshape.  We learned two rules that help us to be more efficient … Continue reading →

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Correlations, dimension, and risk measure

May 4, 2012
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Correlations, dimension, and risk measure

Yesterday, while I was attending the IFM2 conference, at HEC Montreal, I heard a nice talk about credit risk, and a comparison between contagion (or at least default correlation), for corporate and retail companies (in the US). And it was mentioned...

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reshape (from base) Explained: Part I

May 2, 2012
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reshape (from base) Explained: Part I

This Post Will Explain the Basics of Wide to Long With base reshape (part I) Often your data set is in wide format and some sort of analysis or visualization requires putting the data set into long format.  Hadely Wickham … Continue reading →

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Simple Moving Average Strategy with a Volatility Filter: Follow-Up Part 2

April 30, 2012
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Simple Moving Average Strategy with a Volatility Filter: Follow-Up Part 2

In the Follow-Up Part 1, I explored some of the functions in the quantstrat package that allowed us to drill down trade by trade to explain the difference in performance of the two strategies. By doing this, I found that my choice of a volatility measure may not have been the best choice. Although the … Continue reading...

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French Global Factors

April 30, 2012
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French Global Factors

I have said it already in multiple posts, but Kenneth French’s data library is one of the most generous and powerful contributions to the financial community.  To build on Systematic Investor’s series on factors, I thought I should run some ba...

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Bayesian ANOVA for sensory panel profiling data

April 30, 2012
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Bayesian ANOVA for sensory panel profiling data

In this post it is examined if it is possible to use Bayesian methods and specifically JAGS to analyze sensory profiling data. The aim is not to obtain different results, but rather to confirm that the results are fairly similar. The data used is the c...

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