1136 search results for "time series"

What is probabilistic truth?

May 18, 2013
By
What is probabilistic truth?

I am currently working on a validation metric for binary prediction models. That is, models which make predictions about outcomes that can take on either of two possible states (eg Dead/not dead, heads/tails, cat in picture/no cat in picture, etc.) The most commonly used metric for this class of models is AUC, which assesses the

Read more »

Preferential attachment applied to frequency of accessing a variable

May 17, 2013
By
Preferential attachment applied to frequency of accessing a variable

If, when writing code for a function, up to the current point in the code distinct local variables have been accessed for reading times (), will the next read access be from a previously unread local variable and if not what is the likelihood of choosing each of the distinct variables (global variables are ignored

Read more »

Finding patterns in time series using regular expressions

May 17, 2013
By
Finding patterns in time series using regular expressions

Regular expressions are a fantastic tool when you’re looking for patterns in time series. I wish I’d realised that sooner. Here’s a timely example: traditionally, when you have two successive quarters of negative GDP growth, you’re in recession. We have a quarterly GDP time series for Australia, and we want to know how many recessions

Read more »

R code for generating multi-site stochastic precipitation

In water resource management, climate change, hydrology and related disciplines long time series of precipitation/rainfall data is required. Since historical records are relatively short, typically 50 years or less, mathematical/statistical models are ...

Read more »

Forecasting annual totals from monthly data

May 15, 2013
By
Forecasting annual totals from monthly data

This question was posed on crossvalidated.com: I have a monthly time series (for 2009–2012 non-stationary, with seasonality). I can use ARIMA (or ETS) to obtain point and interval forecasts for each month of 2013, but I am interested in forecasting the total for the whole year, including prediction intervals. Is there an easy way in R to obtain interval...

Read more »

Stack Exchange: Why I dropped out

May 13, 2013
By
Stack Exchange: Why I dropped out

Stack Exchange is a series of question-and-answer sites, including Stack Overflow for programming and Cross Validated for statistics. I was introduced to these sites at a short talk by Barry Rowlingson at the 2011 UseR! meeting, “Why R-help must die!“ These sites have a lot of advantages over R-help: The format is easier to read,

Read more »

The Guerilla Guide to R

May 12, 2013
By

Update: I am aware the table of contents are being displayed in bullet form as I intended. The web template I'm using seems to be buggy. It also seems to think this page is in Indonesian...Working on it!

Table of Contents:

  1. Reading/Writing Files
    1. How to write lines of text into a file
    2. Trimming a huge (3.5GB) csv...

      Read more »

A guide to speeding up R code

May 10, 2013
By

Noam Ross recently shared a very useful guide to speeding up your R code. Get a bigger computer (for example, renting an instance on the Amazon cloud for a few cents an hour) Use parallel programming techniques Using the R byte-compiler Profiling and benchmarking your code Using high-performance packages (like xts, for time series) And lastly, rewriting your code...

Read more »

Feature Selection 2 – Genetic Boogaloo

May 8, 2013
By
Feature Selection 2 – Genetic Boogaloo

Previously, I talked about genetic algorithms (GA) for feature selection and illustrated the algorithm using a modified version of the GA R package and simulated data. The data were simulated with 200 non-informative predictors and 12 linear effects and three non-linear effects. Quadratic discriminant analysis (QDA) was used to model the data. The last set of...

Read more »

Building a custom database of country time-series data using Quandl

May 8, 2013
By
Building a custom database of country time-series data using Quandl

Encouraged by this post I had another look at quandl for collecting datasets from different agencies. Right now I need to get data for four countries on a couple of dozen indicators. This graphic is just a quick example with only two indicators of what I am aiming to be able to do. The process

Read more »