I have discussed Volatility Position Sizing in the Volatility Position Sizing to improve Risk Adjusted Performance post using the Average True Range (ATR) as a measure of Volatility. Today I want show how to use historical volatility to adjust portfolio leverage. Let’s start with Buy and Hold strategy using SPY and rescale it to the 
Today I want to examine the performance of stocks in the S&P 500 grouped into Quantiles based on one year historical Volatility. The idea is very simple: each week we will form Volatility Quantiles portfolios by grouping stocks in the S&P 500 into Quantiles using one year historical Volatility. Next we will backtest each portfolio 
In the last post, Classical Technical Patterns, I discussed the algorithm and pattern definitions presented in the Foundations of Technical Analysis by A. Lo, H. Mamaysky, J. Wang (2000) paper. Today, I want to check how different patterns performed historically using SPY. I will follow the rolling window procedure discussed on pages 14-15 of the 
In this post, I will demonstrate how to quickly visualize correlations using the PerformanceAnalytics package. Thanks to the package creators, it is really easy correlation and many other performance metrics. The first chart looks at the rolling 252 day correlation of nine sector ETFs using SPY as the benchmark. As expected the correlation is rather … Continue reading...
In my presentation about Seasonality Analysis and Pattern Matching at the R/Finance conference, I used examples that I have previously covered in my blog: Month of the Year Seasonality – I introduced the Seasonality charts in the Historical Seasonality Analysis: What company in DOW 30 is likely to do well in January? post. I also 
In the last decade we have observed an increase in computational power, information availability, speed of execution and stock market competition in general. One might think that, as a result, we are prone to larger shocks that occur faster than … Continue reading →
Diversification is hard to find nowadays because financial markets are becoming increasingly correlated. I found a good visually presentation of Cross Sectional Correlation of stocks in the S&P 500 index in the Trading correlation by D. Varadi and C. Rittenhouse article. Let’s compute and plot the average correlation among stocks in the S&P 500 index 
Today I want to show how to use Volatility Position Sizing to improve strategy’s Risk Adjusted Performance. I will use the Average True Range (ATR) as a measure of Volatility and will increase allocation during low Volatility periods and will decrease allocation during high Volatility periods. Following are two good references that explain these strategy 
In a previous post, we discussed ideas generated by a Timely Portfolio post about Linear Models on Stock. I wanted to see if there was a relationship between the window length of the running mean of the linear regression slope estimate and the running mean of the correlation between fitted and observed values. The parameters
Zero Inflated Models and Generalized Linear Mixed Models with R.
Zuur, Saveliev, Ieno (2012).
