358 search results for "quantmod"

ARMA Models for Trading, Part VI

July 5, 2011
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ARMA Models for Trading, Part VI

All posts in this series were combined into a single, extended tutorial and posted on my new blog. In the fourth posting in this series, we saw the performance comparison between the ARMA strategy and buy-and-hold over the last approximately 10 years. Over the last few weeks (it does take time, believe me) I back-tested

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A Quantstrat to Build On Part 6

July 5, 2011
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A Quantstrat to Build On Part 6

THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.  ACTING ON THIS MAY LOSE LOTS OF MONEY. In A Quantstrat to Build on Part 5, I promised some performance reporting on quantstrat portfolios, but then in REIT Momentum in Quantstrat, I discovered it is not nearly as ea...

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Last Time That Happened

June 30, 2011
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Last Time That Happened

I bought a lottery ticket yesterday. I hardly ever buy them. The last time I did I lost a dollar. Actually, every time I've bought a ticket I've lost.  Yesterday I was at the local gas station in line behind a bloke who had a comprehensive folder ...

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Beating Kenneth French Small – High

June 30, 2011
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Beating Kenneth French Small – High

With 148 pageviews over the last 24 hours, my post Kenneth French Gift to the Finance World has been popular relative to most of my other posts.  I think the popularity is due to Kenneth French’s notoriety and the amazing outperformance of Small...

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Cash Might be Your Tail Risk

June 30, 2011
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Cash Might be Your Tail Risk

Just like James Montier Ode to the Joy of Cash and David Merkel Got Cash?, I think cash is an extremely powerful tool.  Of the 3 ingredients (land, labor, and capital) of the economy, capital (cash) is most scarce at the end of a crisis or recessi...

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Kenneth French Gift to the Finance World

June 29, 2011
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Kenneth French Gift to the Finance World

Kenneth French gives one of the best gifts to the finance world at his website http://mba.tuck.dartmouth.edu/pages/faculty/ken.french/data_library.html.  I am surprised I have waited so long to write a post about this wonderful resource.  Aft...

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Monitoring Sources of Bond Returns with ML/BAC Corporate OAS and CPI

June 28, 2011
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Monitoring Sources of Bond Returns with ML/BAC Corporate OAS and CPI

In response to the nice comment requesting an update to Monitoring Sources of Bond Return and also longer history, I thought I would update the original and then rerun with CPI to give a longer time series.  For even longer history back to 1919, s...

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Bonds Risk and Return by Rating

June 27, 2011
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Bonds Risk and Return by Rating

As an extension to the Bond Market as a Casino Game series and Historical Sources of Bond Returns-Comparison of Daily to Monthly, I thought a ggplot of risk and return by decade and Moody’s Rating might be helpful.  Anyone who has read those oth...

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Confidence, Ending Equity, and What I Can Do as the Money Manager

June 24, 2011
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Confidence, Ending Equity, and What I Can Do as the Money Manager

I wrote this as my quarterly commentary, but compliance blocked it because they said I was implying that I am Warren Buffett or I can replicate Warren Buffett.  Anyways, I thought I should share it as a general discussion piece.  More than on...

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REITs for Everybody Now REITs for Nobody Part 3

June 22, 2011
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REITs for Everybody Now REITs for Nobody Part 3

THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.  LISTENING TO ME COULD LOSE LOTS OF MONEY. For some additional insight to my short REITs beliefs presented in REITs for Everybody Now REITs for Nobody Part 2 and REITs for Everybody Might Now Mean REITs for Nobody, I...

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