427 search results for "quantmod"

Classical Technical Patterns

May 21, 2012
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Classical Technical Patterns

In my presentation about Seasonality Analysis and Pattern Matching at the R/Finance conference, I used examples that I have previously covered in my blog: Month of the Year Seasonality – I introduced the Seasonality charts in the Historical Seasonality Analysis: What company in DOW 30 is likely to do well in January? post. I also

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Another cut at market randomness

May 20, 2012
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Another cut at market randomness

I have some background in computer security and one day found myself tasked with assessing the quality of randomness for session id tokens generated by popular web frameworks (namely Java and .NET). As it turns out, NIST have developed a series of tests for just this purpose detailed here.As a non-believer in the absolute randomness of markets, I thought...

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Cross Sectional Correlation

May 7, 2012
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Cross Sectional Correlation

Diversification is hard to find nowadays because financial markets are becoming increasingly correlated. I found a good visually presentation of Cross Sectional Correlation of stocks in the S&P 500 index in the Trading correlation by D. Varadi and C. Rittenhouse article. Let’s compute and plot the average correlation among stocks in the S&P 500 index

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Volatility Position Sizing to improve Risk Adjusted Performance

April 30, 2012
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Volatility Position Sizing to improve Risk Adjusted Performance

Today I want to show how to use Volatility Position Sizing to improve strategy’s Risk Adjusted Performance. I will use the Average True Range (ATR) as a measure of Volatility and will increase allocation during low Volatility periods and will decrease allocation during high Volatility periods. Following are two good references that explain these strategy

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Varying Window Length for Linear Models on Stocks

April 24, 2012
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Varying Window Length for Linear Models on Stocks

In a previous post, we discussed ideas generated by a Timely Portfolio post about Linear Models on Stock. I wanted to see if there was a relationship between the window length of the running mean of the linear regression slope estimate and the running mean of the correlation between fitted and observed values. The parameters

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Intraday Backtest

April 22, 2012
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Intraday Backtest

I came across a free source of Intraday Forex data while reading Forex Trading with R : Part 1 post. You can download either Daily or Hourly historical Forex data from the FXHISTORICALDATA.COM. The outline of this post: Download and Import Forex data Reference and Plot Intraday data Daily Backtest Intraday Backtest First,I created a

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A thought on Linear Models on Stocks

April 16, 2012
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A thought on Linear Models on Stocks

Timely Portfolio has a nice post about linear models sytems for stock. The idea follows from the steps below: Get the weekly closing values of the S&P 500. Choose a time window (i.e. 25 weeks) and for each window, linearly regress the subset of closing values Choose an investment strategy based on the residuals, the

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Borrowing Ideas from Timely Portfolio

April 15, 2012
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Borrowing Ideas from Timely Portfolio

I want to highlight two great Visualization techniques I discovered by reading the fine blog from Timely Portfolio. First method is based on the lm System on Nikkei with New Chart. Let’s visualize Strategy’s Long/Short/Not Invested periods by highlighting the underlying (i.e. buy & hold) with green/red/gray. Following is a sample code that implements this

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Mebane Faber Tactical Asset Allocation in R

April 13, 2012
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In 2006 Mebane Faber published a great piece of research detailing an asset allocation system that was both very easy to understand and implement, as well as carrying very respectable risk adjusted returns.The details are available in his paper&nb...

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Transaction Cost and Execution Price functionality in the Backtesting library in the Systematic Investor Toolbox

April 2, 2012
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Transaction Cost and Execution Price functionality in the Backtesting library in the Systematic Investor Toolbox

I want to introduce the Transaction Cost and Execution Price functionality in the Backtesting library in the Systematic Investor Toolbox. The Transaction Cost is implemented by a commission parameter in the bt.run() function. You may specify the commissions in $ per share for “share” type backtest and as a percentage of total trade for “weight”

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