363 search results for "market research"

A Nation of Real Estate Agents

October 20, 2013
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A Nation of Real Estate Agents

I read a series of articles related to the goings of the UK housing market, the likely effects of the new Help To Buy scheme, the 10% increase in mean London house price over the last year, and employment statistics. I failed to reproduce some numbers cited in the economist (below). This post talks about this.It all starts with this...

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How To Put Your Meetup On the Map (Literally)

October 14, 2013
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How To Put Your Meetup On the Map (Literally)

This is a guest post by Alan Briggs. Alan is a Data Scientist with Elder Research, Inc. assisting with the development of predictive analytic capabilities for national security clients in the Washington, DC Metro area. He is President-Elect of the Maryland … Continue reading → The post How To Put Your Meetup On the Map (Literally) appeared first on...

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R and Data Week 2013

October 3, 2013
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R and Data Week 2013

by Joseph Rickert Data Week 2013 is being held this week in sunny San Francisco at the Fort Mason conference center overlooking the Bay. Holding a Bay Area R User Group Meeting (BARUG) at Data Week helped to raise the R consciousness among the hip conference crowd attracted by the intoxicating mix of blue skies, big data hype, startups...

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Direction of Change Forecasting II: The case of the UK

September 25, 2013
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Direction of Change Forecasting II: The case of the UK

In the previous blog article I discussed a dynamic binary model for the directional forecast of the US equity market using a select number of economic, fundamental and technical variables as predictors. A natural direction for extending that research would be to look at similar models in different countries or for other asset classes. In

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Direction of Change Forecasting using a Dynamic Binary Model

September 12, 2013
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Direction of Change Forecasting using a Dynamic Binary Model

While it is generally accepted that the returns of financial assets are almost impossible to forecast with any degree of accuracy which would provide meaningful profit1 , there is evidence that the sign of the returns is much more forecastable. Theoretically, Christoffersen and Diebold (2006) have shown how the forecastability of the sign is related

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Latent Variable Mixture Modeling: When Heterogeneity Requires Both Categories and Dimensions

August 26, 2013
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Latent Variable Mixture Modeling:  When Heterogeneity Requires Both Categories and Dimensions

Dichotomies come easily to us, especially when they are caricatures as shown in this cartoon.  These personality types do seem real, and without much difficulty, we can anticipate how they might react in different situations.  For example, if...

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‘Tis the Season for September Bearishness?

August 22, 2013
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‘Tis the Season for September Bearishness?

Is September Bearish? Traders love discussing seasonality, and September declines in US equity markets are a favorite topic. Historically September has underperformed every other month of the year, offering a mean return of -.56% on the S&P 500 index from 1950 to 2012; 54% of Septembers were bearish over the same period – more than any other month. Empirically, September...

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How to choose a new business location with R

August 6, 2013
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How to choose a new business location with R

This guest post is by Rodolfo Vanzini. Rodolfo is senior partner at eXponential.it — an asset management consultancy based in Italy — and advises clients on investment management issues. He taught at the University of Siena and is an analytics professional. With an economist education and a financial markets expertise four years ago I thought I couldn't be of...

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Statisticians: an endangered species?

August 1, 2013
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by Joseph Rickert Every month I look forward to getting my copy of AMSTATNEWS, the monthly magazine of the American Statistical Association, in the mail. This July, I was both pleased and bemused by ASA President Marie Davidian’s article Aren’t We Data Science?. I was pleased to see a follow up to last month’s article The ASA and Big...

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Revolution Newsletter: July 2013

July 15, 2013
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The most recent edition of the Revolution Newsletter came out a couple of weeks ago. In case you missed it, the news section is below, and you can read the full July edition (with highlights from this blog and community events) online. You can subscribe to the Revolution Newsletter to get it monthly via email. Let’s Be Quick About...

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