Blog Archives

More on Factor Attribution to improve performance of the 1-Month Reversal Strategy

July 26, 2012
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More on Factor Attribution to improve performance of the 1-Month Reversal Strategy

In my last post, Factor Attribution to improve performance of the 1-Month Reversal Strategy, I discussed how Factor Attribution can be used to boost performance of the 1-Month Reversal Strategy. Today I want to dig a little dipper and examine this strategy for each sector and also run a sector-neutral back-test. The initial steps to

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Factor Attribution to improve performance of the 1-Month Reversal Strategy

July 16, 2012
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Factor Attribution to improve performance of the 1-Month Reversal Strategy

Today I want to show how to use Factor Attribution to boost performance of the 1-Month Reversal Strategy. The Short-Term Residual Reversal by D. Blitz, J. Huij, S. Lansdorp, M. Verbeek (2011) paper presents the idea and discusses the results as applied to US stock market since 1929. To improve 1-Month Reversal Strategy performance authors

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1-Month Reversal Strategy

July 12, 2012
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1-Month Reversal Strategy

Today I want to show a simple example of the 1-Month Reversal Strategy. Each month we will buy 20% of loosers and short sell 20% of winners from the S&P 500 index. The loosers and winners are measured by prior 1-Month returns. I will use this post to set the stage for my next post

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Example of Factor Attribution

July 3, 2012
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Example of Factor Attribution

In the prior post, Factor Attribution 2, I have shown how Factor Attribution can be applied to decompose fund’s returns in to Market, Capitalization, and Value factors, the “three-factor model” of Fama and French. Today, I want to show you a different application of Factor Attribution. First, let’s run Factor Attribution on each the stocks

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Factor Attribution 2

June 26, 2012
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Factor Attribution 2

I want to continue with Factor Attribution theme that I presented in the Factor Attribution post. I have re-organized the code logic into the following 4 functions: factor.rolling.regression – Factor Attribution over given rolling window factor.rolling.regression.detail.plot – detail time-series plot and histogram for each factor factor.rolling.regression.style.plot – historical style plot for selected 2 factors factor.rolling.regression.bt.plot

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Factor Attribution

June 19, 2012
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Factor Attribution

I came across a very descriptive visualization of the Factor Attribution that I will replicate today. There is the Three Factor Rolling Regression Viewer at the mas financial tools web site that performs rolling window Factor Analysis of the “three-factor model” of Fama and French. The factor returns are available from the Kenneth R French:

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Volatility Position Sizing 2

June 11, 2012
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Volatility Position Sizing 2

I have discussed Volatility Position Sizing in the Volatility Position Sizing to improve Risk Adjusted Performance post using the Average True Range (ATR) as a measure of Volatility. Today I want show how to use historical volatility to adjust portfolio leverage. Let’s start with Buy and Hold strategy using SPY and rescale it to the

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Volatility Quantiles

June 4, 2012
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Volatility Quantiles

Today I want to examine the performance of stocks in the S&P 500 grouped into Quantiles based on one year historical Volatility. The idea is very simple: each week we will form Volatility Quantiles portfolios by grouping stocks in the S&P 500 into Quantiles using one year historical Volatility. Next we will backtest each portfolio

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Backtesting Classical Technical Patterns

May 28, 2012
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Backtesting Classical Technical Patterns

In the last post, Classical Technical Patterns, I discussed the algorithm and pattern definitions presented in the Foundations of Technical Analysis by A. Lo, H. Mamaysky, J. Wang (2000) paper. Today, I want to check how different patterns performed historically using SPY. I will follow the rolling window procedure discussed on pages 14-15 of the

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Classical Technical Patterns

May 21, 2012
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Classical Technical Patterns

In my presentation about Seasonality Analysis and Pattern Matching at the R/Finance conference, I used examples that I have previously covered in my blog: Month of the Year Seasonality – I introduced the Seasonality charts in the Historical Seasonality Analysis: What company in DOW 30 is likely to do well in January? post. I also

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