Volatility from daily or monthly: garch evidence

October 29, 2012 | Pat

Should you use daily or monthly returns to estimate volatility? Does garch explain why volatility estimated with daily data tends to be bigger than if it is estimated with monthly data? Previously There are a number of previous posts — with the variance compression tag — that discuss the phenomenon of volatility ... [Read more...]

Volatility estimation and time-adjusted returns

December 15, 2011 | Pat

Do non-trading days explain the mystery of volatility estimation? Previously The post “The volatility mystery continues” showed that volatility estimated with daily data tends to be larger (in recent years) than when estimated with lower frequency returns. Time adjusting One of the comments — from Joseph Wilson — was that there is ... [Read more...]

The volatility mystery continues

December 5, 2011 | Pat

How do volatility estimates based on monthly versus daily returns differ? Previously The post “The mystery of volatility estimates from daily versus monthly returns” and its offspring “Another look at autocorrelation in the S&P 500″ discussed what appears to be an anomaly in the estimation of volatility from daily versus ... [Read more...]

The mystery of volatility estimates from daily versus monthly returns

November 8, 2011 | Pat

What drives the estimates apart? Previously A post by Investment Performance Guy prompted “Variability of volatility estimates from daily data”. In my comments to the original post I suggested that using daily data to estimate volatility would be equivalent to using monthly data except with less variability.  Dave, the Investment ... [Read more...]

Transaction cost analysis and pre-trade analysis

April 20, 2011 | Dzidorius Martinaitis

Transaction cost analysis (TCA) is the framework to achieve best execution in trading context. TCA can be split into three groups: pre-trade analysis, intraday analysis, and post-trade measurement. Pre-trade analysis allows us to get insight about the future volatility of the price, forecast intra-day and daily volumes, market impact. It ... [Read more...]

Volatility Violins

March 28, 2011 | Milk Trader

Unlike many humans, markets love change. In fact, they look forward to it with great anticipation. Regular people like stability, for the most part. Unless you're a career gypsy, you like to stay in one place for some time. Making a home. Settling in, ...
[Read more...]

Interesting volatility measurement, part 2

January 21, 2011 | Dzidorius Martinaitis

A few weeks ago I have mentioned about an interesting volatility prediction. It is based on two periods of historical volatility (standard deviation). The remaining question was – does it really works? I could not give the answer, because I didn’t have VIX futures data at that time. Later on, ...
[Read more...]

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