Which sectors are coherent, and which aren’t? Previously The post “S&P 500 correlations up to date” looked at rolling mean correlations among stocks. In particular it looked at rolling mean correlations of stocks within sectors. Of importance to this post is that the sectors used are taken from Wikipedia. Relative correlations The thought is that … Continue reading...
I haven’t heard much about correlation lately. I was curious about what it’s been doing. Data The dataset is daily log returns on 464 large cap US stocks from the start of 2006 to 2012 October 5. The sector data were taken from Wikipedia. The correlation calculated here is the mean correlation of stocks among … Continue reading...
Portfolio diversity is a balancing act. Previously The post “Portfolio diversity” talked about the role of the correlation between assets and the portfolio. The current post fills a hole in that post. The 2 dimensions asset-portfolio correlation Each asset in the universe has a correlation with the portfolio. If there are any assets that have … Continue reading...
A look at a simplistic measure of stock-picking opportunity. Motivation The interquartile range (the spread of the middle half of the data) has recently been added to the market portrait plots. Putting those numbers into historical context was the original impulse. However, this led to thinking about change in stock-picking opportunity over time. Data Daily … Continue reading...
How many baskets are your eggs in? Meucci diversity Attilio Meucci directly addresses the adage: Don’t put all your eggs in one basket. His idea is to think of your portfolio as a set of subportfolios that are each uncorrelated with the rest. If your portfolio can be configured to have a lot of roughly … Continue reading...
Not quite expected behavior of skewness and kurtosis. The question In each time period the returns of a universe of stocks will have some distribution — distributions as displayed in “Replacing market indices” and Figure 1. Figure 1: A cross-sectional distribution of simple returns of stocks. In particular they will have values for skewness and … Continue reading...
If equity markets suddenly sprang into existence now, would we create market indices? I’m doubtful. Why an index? The Dow Jones Industrial Average was born in 1896. This was when computers were humans with adding machines (but they did do parallel processing). At that point boiling “the market” down to a single number had value. … Continue reading...
The missing link between beta and volatility is correlation. Previously “4 and a half myths about beta in finance” attempted to dislodge several myths about beta, including that beta is about volatility. “Low (and high) volatility strategy effects” showed a plot of beta versus volatility for stocks in the S&P 500 for estimates from 2006. … Continue reading...
2011 was a good vintage for minimum variance, at least among stocks in the S&P 500. Previously The post “Realized efficient frontiers” included, of course, a minimum variance portfolio. That portfolio seemed interesting enough to explore some more. “What does ‘passive investing’ really mean” suggests that minimum variance should be considered a form of passive … Continue reading...
A look at the distortion from predicted to realized. The idea The efficient frontier is a mainstay of academic quant. I’ve made fun of it before. This post explores the efficient frontier in a slightly less snarky fashion. Data The universe is 474 stocks in the S&P 500. The predictions are made using data from … Continue reading...
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