As promised. Looks like a Spain Germany final. [Read more...]

Time for an update of the plots. Here are the teams still left in the competition. This is the group stratification. Finally, the busy plot. [Read more...]

The second round of group games ended last night (sadly with Sweden’s elimination). Here is what the last number of days has done to the plots. [Read more...]

Now that every team has played a match it will be interesting to see how this has affected the (inverse) odds of victory. Since the plot in my last post was a bit ‘busy’, I have decided to use the facet_wrap function in gglplot2 to stratify by group. Also, ... [Read more...]

Why settle for just one realisation of this year’s UEFA Euro when you can let the tournament play out 10,000 times in silico? Since I already had some code lying around from my submission to the Kaggle hosted 2010 Take on the Quants challenge, I figured I’d recycle it for ... [Read more...]

After scanning this paper by Zeileis, Leitner & Hornik, I thought it would be interesting to see how the victory odds for each team changes as Euro 2012 progresses. To do this, I am going to collect the daily inverse odds of a tournament victory offered by a popular betting site for ... [Read more...]