Asset Allocation

Modeling Couch Potato strategy

October 25, 2012 | systematicinvestor

I first read about the Couch Potato strategy in the MoneySense magazine. I liked this simple strategy because it was easy to understand and easy to manage. The Couch Potato strategy is similar to the Permanent Portfolio strategy that I have analyzed previously. The Couch Potato strategy invests money in ... [Read more...]

Permanent Portfolio

September 17, 2012 | systematicinvestor

First, just a quick update: I’m moving the release date of the SIT package a few months down the road, probably in November. Now back to the post. Recently I came across a series of interesting posts about the Permanent Portfolio at the GestaltU blog. Today I want to ... [Read more...]

Adaptive Asset Allocation – Sensitivity Analysis

August 20, 2012 | systematicinvestor

Today I want to continue with Adaptive Asset Allocation theme and examine how the strategy results are sensitive to look-back parameters used for momentum and volatility computations. I will follow the sample steps that were outlined by David Varadi on the robustness of parameters of the Adaptive Asset Allocation algorithm ... [Read more...]

Adaptive Asset Allocation

August 13, 2012 | systematicinvestor

Today I want to highlight a whitepaper about Adaptive Asset Allocation by Butler, Philbrick and Gordillo and the discussion by David Varadi on the robustness of parameters of the Adaptive Asset Allocation algorithm. In this post I will follow the steps of the Adaptive Asset Allocation paper, and in the ... [Read more...]

Gini Efficient Frontier

March 23, 2012 | systematicinvestor

David Varadi have recently wrote two posts about Gini Coefficient: I Dream of Gini, and Mean-Gini Optimization. I want to show how to use Gini risk measure to construct efficient frontier and compare it with alternative risk measures I discussed previously. I will use Gini mean difference risk measure – the ... [Read more...]

Backtesting Asset Allocation portfolios

March 18, 2012 | systematicinvestor

In the last post, Portfolio Optimization: Specify constraints with GNU MathProg language, Paolo and MC raised a question: “How would you construct an equal risk contribution portfolio?” Unfortunately, this problem cannot be expressed as a Linear or Quadratic Programming problem. The outline for this post: I will show how Equal ... [Read more...]

Multiple Factor Model – Building 130/30 Index

March 5, 2012 | systematicinvestor

Nico brought to my attention the 130/30: The New Long-Only (2008) by A. Lo, P. Patel paper in his comment to the Multiple Factor Model – Building CSFB Factors post. This paper presents a very detailed step by step guide to building 130/30 Index using average CSFB Factors as the alpha model and MSCI ... [Read more...]

Backtesting Rebalancing methods

December 15, 2011 | systematicinvestor

I wrote about Rebalancing in the Asset Allocation Process Summary post. Deciding how and when to rebalance (update the portfolio to the target mix) is one of the critical steps in the Asset Allocation Process. I want to study the portfolio performance and turnover for the following Rebalancing methods: Periodic ... [Read more...]

Backtesting Minimum Variance portfolios

December 12, 2011 | systematicinvestor

I want to show how to combine various risk measures I discussed while writing the series of posts about Asset Allocation with backtesting library in the Systematic Investor Toolbox. I will use Minimum Variance portfolio as an example for this post. I recommend reading a good discussion about Minimum Variance ... [Read more...]

Style Analysis

November 17, 2011 | systematicinvestor

During the final stage of asset allocation process we have to decide how to implement our desired allocation. In many cases we will allocate capital to the mutual fund managers who will invest money according to their fund’s mandate. Usually there is no perfect relationship between asset classes and ... [Read more...]

Black-Litterman Model

November 15, 2011 | systematicinvestor

The Black-Litterman Model was created by Fisher Black and Robert Litterman in 1992 to resolve shortcomings of traditional Markovitz mean-variance asset allocation model. It addresses following two items: Lack of diversification of portfolios on the mean-variance efficient frontier. Instability of portfolios on the mean-variance efficient frontier: small changes in the input ... [Read more...]

Resampling and Shrinkage : Solutions to Instability of mean-variance efficient portfolios

November 11, 2011 | systematicinvestor

Small changes in the input assumptions often lead to very different efficient portfolios constructed with mean-variance optimization. I will discuss Resampling and Covariance Shrinkage Estimator – two common techniques to make portfolios in the mean-variance efficient frontier more diversified and immune to small changes in the input assumptions. Resampling was introduced ... [Read more...]

Geometric Efficient Frontier

November 9, 2011 | systematicinvestor

What is important for an investor? The rate of return is at the top of the list. Does the expected rate of return shown on the mean-variance efficient frontier paints the full picture? If investor’s investment horizon is longer than one period, for example 5 years, than the true measure ... [Read more...]

Maximizing Omega Ratio

November 3, 2011 | systematicinvestor

The Omega Ratio was introduced by Keating and Shadwick in 2002. It measures the ratio of average portfolio wins over average portfolio losses for a given target return L. Let x.i, i= 1,…,n be weights of instruments in the portfolio. We suppose that j= 1,…,T scenarios of returns with equal ... [Read more...]

Minimizing Downside Risk

November 1, 2011 | systematicinvestor

In the Maximum Loss and Mean-Absolute Deviation risk measures, and Expected shortfall (CVaR) and Conditional Drawdown at Risk (CDaR) posts I started the discussion about alternative risk measures we can use to construct efficient frontier. Another alternative risk measure I want to discuss is Downside Risk. In the traditional mean-variance ... [Read more...]

130/30 Porfolio Construction

October 18, 2011 | systematicinvestor

The 130/30 funds were getting lots of attention a few years ago. The 130/30 fund is a long/short portfolio that for each $100 dollars invested allocates $130 dollars to longs and $30 dollars to shorts. From portfolio construction perspective this simple idea is no so simple to implement. Let’s continue with our discussion ... [Read more...]
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