Blog Archives

Testing and significance

September 12, 2011
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Testing and significance

Julien Cornebise pointed me to this Guardian article that itself summarises the findings of a Nature Neuroscience article I cannot access. The core of the paper is that a large portion of comparative studies conclude to a significant difference between protocols when one protocol result is significantly different from zero and the other one(s) is(are)

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Le Monde puzzle [#739]

September 9, 2011
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Le Monde puzzle [#739]

The weekend puzzle in Le Monde this week is again about a clock.  Now, the clock has one hand and x ticks where a lamp is either on or off. The hand moves from tick to tick and each time the lights go on or off depending on whether or not both  neighbours were in

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Bayes-250, Edinburgh [day 2]

September 6, 2011
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Bayes-250, Edinburgh [day 2]

After a terrific run this morning to the top of Arthur’s Seat, and then around (the ribs are feeling fine, now!), the Bayes-250 talks were exhilarating and challenging. Jim Smith gave an introduction to the challenges of getting different experts to collaborate on a complex risk assessment, much in the spirit of his book, that

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A misleading title…

September 4, 2011
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A misleading title…

When I received this book, Handbook of fitting statistical distributions with R, by Z. Karian and E.J. Dudewicz,  from/for the Short Book Reviews section of the International Statistical Review, I was obviously impressed by its size (around 1700 pages and 3 kilos…). From briefly glancing at the table of contents, and the list of standard

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Le Monde puzzle [#738]

September 1, 2011
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Le Monde puzzle [#738]

The Friday puzzle in Le Monde this week is about “friendly perfect squares”, namely perfect squares x2>10 and y2>10 with the same number of digits and such that, when drifting all digits of x2 by the same value a (modulo 10), one recovers y2. For instance, 121 is “friend” with 676. Here is my R

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Posts of the year

August 30, 2011
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Posts of the year

Like last year, here are the most popular posts since last August: Home page 92,982 In{s}a(ne)!! 6,803 “simply start over and build something better” 5,834 Julien on R shortcomings 2,373 Parallel processing of independent Metropolis-Hastings algorithms 1,455 Do we need an integrated Bayesian/likelihood inference? 1,361 Coincidence in lotteries 1,256 #2 blog for the statistics geek?! 863

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another lottery coincidence

August 29, 2011
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another lottery coincidence

Once again, meaningless figures are published about a man who won the French lottery (Le Loto) for the second time. The reported probability of the event is indeed one chance out of 363 (US) trillions (i.e., billions in the metric system. or 1012)… This number is simply the square of which is the number of

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Le Monde puzzle [#737 re-read]

August 27, 2011
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Le Monde puzzle [#737 re-read]

As a coincidence, while I was waiting for the solution to puzzle #737 published this Friday in Le Monde, the delivery (wo)man forgot to include the weekend magazine and I had to buy it this morning with my baguette (as if anyone cares!). The solution is (y0,z0,w0)=(38,40,46) and…it does not work! The value of (x1,y1,z1,w1) is

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Le Monde puzzle [#737]

August 26, 2011
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Le Monde puzzle [#737]

The puzzle in the weekend edition of Le Monde this week can be expressed as follows: Consider four integer sequences (xn), (yn), (zn), and (wn), such that and, if u=(xn,yn,zn,wn), for i=1,…,4, if ui is not the maximum of u and otherwise. Find the first return time n (if any) such that xn=0. Find the value

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Numerical analysis for statisticians

August 25, 2011
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Numerical analysis for statisticians

“In the end, it really is just a matter of choosing the relevant parts of mathematics and ignoring the rest. Of course, the hard part is deciding what is irrelevant.” Somehow, I had missed the first edition of this book and thus I started reading it this afternoon with a newcomer’s eyes (obviously, I will

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