This week, more Stan! Charles Margossian is rock star of the week, finishing off the algebraic solver math library fixture and getting all plumbed through Stan and documented. Now you can solve nonlinear sets of equations and get derivatives with the implicit function theory all as part of defining your ... [Read more...]

This week, more Stan! Charles Margossian is rock star of the week, finishing off the algebraic solver math library fixture and getting all plumbed through Stan and documented. Now you can solve nonlinear sets of equations and get derivatives with the implicit function theorem all as part of defining your ... [Read more...]

You’d almost think we were Europeans based on how much we’ve slowed down over the summer. Imad Ali, Jonah Gabry, and Ben Goodrich finished the online pkgdown-style documentation for all the Stan Development Team supported R packages. They can be accessed via http://mc-stan.org/(package_name), e.... [Read more...]

You’d almost think we were Europeans based on how much we’ve slowed down over the summer. Imad Ali, Jonah Gabry, and Ben Goodrich finished the online pkgdown-style documentation for all the Stan Development Team supported R packages. They can be accessed via http://mc-stan.org/(package_name), e.... [Read more...]

Here’s the roundup for this past week. Michael Betancourt added case studies for methodology in both Python and R, based on the work he did getting the ML meetup together: RStan workflow PyStan workflow Michael Betancourt, along with Mitzi Morris, Sean Talts, and Jonah Gabry taught the women in ... [Read more...]

Here’s the roundup for this past week. Michael Betancourt added case studies for methodology in both Python and R, based on the work he did getting the ML meetup together: RStan workflow PyStan workflow Michael Betancourt, along with Mitzi Morris, Sean Talts, and Jonah Gabry taught the women in ... [Read more...]

It was another productive week in Stan land. The big news is that Jonathan Auerbach, Tim Jones, Susanna Makela, Swupnil Sahai, and Robin Winstanley won first place in a New York City competition for predicting elementary school enrollment. Jonathan told me, “I heard 192 entered, and there were 5 finalists….Of course, ... [Read more...]

It was another productive week in Stan land. The big news is that Jonathan Auerbach reports that A team of Columbia students (mostly Andrew’s, including myself) recently won first place in a competition predicting elementary school enrollment. I heard 192 entered, and there were 5 finalists….Of course, we used Stan (... [Read more...]

It’s Sunday, and I [Bob] am just sitting on the couch peacefully ggplotting to illustrate basic sample spaces using spinners (a trick I’m borrowing from Jim Albert’s book Curve Ball). There’s an underlying continuous outcome (i.e., where the spinner lands) and a quantization into a ... [Read more...]

It’s Sunday, and I [Bob] am just sitting on the couch peacefully ggplotting to illustrate basic sample spaces using spinners (a trick I’m borrowing from Jim Albert’s book Curve Ball). There’s an underlying continuous outcome (i.e., where the spinner lands) and a quantization into a ... [Read more...]

Another week, another bunch of Stan updates. Kevin Van Horn and Elea McDonnell Feit put together a tutorial on Stan [GitHub link] that covers linear regression, multinomial logistic regression, and hierarchical multinomial logistic regression. Andrew has been working on writing up our “workflow”. That includes Chapter 1, Verse 1 of Bayesian Data ... [Read more...]

Another week, another bunch of Stan updates. Kevin Van Horn and Elea McDonnell Feit put together a tutorial on Stan [GitHub link] that covers linear regression, multinomial logistic regression, and hierarchical multinomial logistic regression. Andrew has been working on writing up our “workflow,” by which he means not only the ... [Read more...]

Holiday weekend, schmoliday weekend. Ben Goodrich and Jonah Gabry shipped RStan 2.16.2 (their numbering is a little beyond base Stan, which is at 2.16.0). This reintroduces error reporting that got lost in the 2.15 refactor, so please upgrade if you want to debug your Stan programs! Joe Haupt translated the JAGS examples in ... [Read more...]

Holiday weekend, schmoliday weekend. Ben Goodrich and Jonah Gabry shipped RStan 2.16.2 (their numbering is a little beyond base Stan, which is at 2.16.0). This reintroduces error reporting that got lost in the 2.15 refactor, so please upgrade if you want to debug your Stan programs! Joe Haupt translated the JAGS examples in ... [Read more...]

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Here’s some things that have been going on with Stan since the last week’s roundup Stan® and the logo and were was granted U.S. Trademark Registrations No. 5,222,891 and U.S. Serial Number: 87,237,369. Hard to feel special when there were millions of products ahead of you. Trademarked names ... [Read more...]

Ensemble methods By ensemble methods, I (Bob, not Andrew) mean approaches that scatter points in parameter space and then make moves by inteprolating or extrapolating among subsets of them. Two prominent examples are: Ter Braak’s differential evolution   Goodman and Weare’s walkers There are extensions and computer implementations of ... [Read more...]

Wonderful, indeed, to have an RStan book in Japanese: Kentarou Matsuura. 2016. Bayesian Statistical Modeling Using Stan and R. Wonderful R Series, Volume 2. Kyoritsu Shuppan Co., Ltd. Google translate makes the following of the description posted on Amazon Japan (linked from the title above): In recent years, understanding of the phenomenon ... [Read more...]

Hiroki ITÔ (pictured) has done everyone a service in translating to Stan the example models from Marc Kéry and Michael Schaub (2012) Bayesian Population Analysis using WinBUGS: A Hierarchical Perspective. Academic Press. You can find the code in our example-models repository on GitHub: Stan code for BPA This greatly expands ... [Read more...]

Jim Albert has a baseball blog: Baseball with R I sent a link internally to people I knew were into baseball, to which Andrew replied, “I agree that it’s cool that he doesn’t just talk, he has code.” (No kidding—the latest post as of writing this was ... [Read more...]