Consider a (simple) Poisson regression . Given a sample where , the goal is to derive a 95% confidence interval for given , where is the prediction. Hence, we want to derive a confidence interval for the prediction, not the potential observation... [Read more...]

[Read more...]

I came across a problem below when doing stemming and stem completion with package tm in R. Word “mining” was stemmed to “mine” with stemDocument(), and then completed to “miners”with stemCompletion(). However, I prefer to keep “mining” intact. For stemCompletion(), … Continue reading → [Read more...]

R users in the financial industry may be interested in the following webinar hosted by Revolution Analytics' partner Sybase on November 10: Portfolio Rebalancing Using R and Sybase RAP for Intraday Risk Management With volatility and violent intraday swings becoming the new normal, intraday risk controls are now needed to not ... [Read more...]

[...] have the 64 bit version of R compiled from source on my Ubuntu laptop. I recently had a need for R based on 32 bit since a package I [...] [Read more...]

We were recently given a lecture (by Dr. Susan Thomas) on Harry Markowitz portfolio optimization theory, and I was really fascinating with the noble laureate's story of how he found it difficult to convince his guide about the importance of h... [Read more...]

Investment Performance Guy has a post “Periodicity of risk statistcs (and other measures)” in which it is wondered how valid volatility estimates are from a month of daily returns. Here is a quick look.  Figure 1 shows the variability (and a 95% confidence interval) of volatility estimates for the S&P 500 index ... [Read more...]

The Omega Ratio was introduced by Keating and Shadwick in 2002. It measures the ratio of average portfolio wins over average portfolio losses for a given target return L. Let x.i, i= 1,…,n be weights of instruments in the portfolio. We suppose that j= 1,…,T scenarios of returns with equal ... [Read more...]

[Read more...]

Having worked just a little with R, I have some first impressions to share.  I'll give you some links to resources I found helpful with writing the previous project. First, the documentation is not very good.  I struggled on previous attempts to figure things out.  I still find it crap ... [Read more...]

Earlier this year I came across a rather interesting page about optimisation in R from rwiki. The goal was to find the most efficient code to produce strings which follow the pattern below given a single integer input n: From this we can see that the general pattern for n ... [Read more...]

If you are creating maps then for goodness sake Use sensible colours!  I was helping some undergraduates with some work the other day, and they decided to use the following colour scheme for representing river depth: Deep water: Red Medium-depth water: Bright green Shallow water: Pink Why did they do ... [Read more...]

In view of open-source parallel computing with R this week presents a big step to the future. R 2.14.0 was released at October 31th, 2011. Now, R base ships with a parallel computing package called “parallel”.  library(parallel) It combines advantages of the packages multicore and snow and it contains support for ... [Read more...]

The Gaussian vector is extremely interesting since it remains Gaussian when conditioning. More precisely, if is a Gaussian random vector, then the conditional distribution of is also Gaussian. Further, it is possible to derive explicitly the cova... [Read more...]

Thanks to everyone for participating in the "Applications of R in Business" contest. R users submitted more than 25 entries, describing how R is used in industries including life sciences, finance, manufacturing, sentiment analysis, and even sports. Some entries are just outlines for now (competitors have until November 30 to finalize their ... [Read more...]

Recently, I've been preparing a poster using the LaTeX packages Beamer and beamerposter. The poster discusses a bunch of R stuff that I've been doing lately, so I successfully used Sweave to incorporate R code into the poster. However, I had some troub... [Read more...]

For this years Halloween I presented the mathematical biology seminar at the Centre for Mathematical Biology. Here is the title and the abstract… Cycles in finite populations: a reproducible seminar in three acts Many natural populations exhibit cyclic fluctuations. Explaining the underlying … Continue reading → [Read more...]

Paid search marketing refers to the process of driving traffic to a website by purchasing ads on search engines. Advertisers bid on certain keywords that users might search for, and that determines when and where their ads appear. For example, an individual who owns an auto dealership would want to ... [Read more...]

As supplementary material to the ABC paper we just arXived, here is the R code I used to produce the Bayes factor comparisons between summary statistics in the normal versus Laplace example. (Warning: running the R code takes a while!) Filed under: R, Statistics, University life Tagged: ABC, Bayesian model ... [Read more...]

You may often use "Beta" to measure the market exposure of your portfolio because it's easy to calculate.Since I have been wondering how much "Beta" change depending on time, more precisely writing, data-set and the period of return time series, I... [Read more...]