2011

Stochastic reserving with R: ChainLadder 0.1.5-1 released

November 12, 2011 | mages

Today we published version 0.1.5-1 of the ChainLadder package for R. It provides methods which are typically used in insurance claims reserving to forecast future claims payments.Claims development and chain-ladder forecast of the RAA data set using the Mack methodThe package started out of presentations given at the Stochastic ...
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Logistic Power Peak (LPP) Simulated Soil Profiles

November 12, 2011 | dylan

A friend of mine recently published a very interesting article on the pedologic interpretation of asymetric peak functions fit to soil profile data (Myers et al., 2011). I won't bother summarizing or paraphrasing the article here, as the original artic... [Read more...]

Home Runs heating up?

November 12, 2011 | hawkhandler

My intuition tells me that objects traveling through the air would meet more resistance when there is more moisture in the air. It turns out that my intuition is wrong. It still doesn’t make sense to me but apparently humid … Continue reading → [Read more...]

Visualizing Likert Items

November 11, 2011 | Jason

I have become quite a big fan of graphics that combine the features of traditional figures (e.g. bar charts, histograms, etc.) with tables. That is, the combination of numerical results with a visual representation has been quite useful for exploring descriptive statistics. I have wrapped two of my favorites (... [Read more...]

Web Scraping Google+ via XPath

November 11, 2011 | Tony Breyal

Google+ just opened up to allow brands, groups, and organizations to create their very own public Pages on the site. This didn’t bother me to much but I’ve been hearing a lot about Google+ lately so figured it might be fun to set up an XPath scraper to ...
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Propagation of error

November 11, 2011 | Marc in the box

     At the onset, this was strictly an excercise of my own curiosity and I didn't imagine writing this down in any form at all. As someone who has done some modelling work in the past, I'm embarrassed to say that I had never fully grasped how one can gauge the ... [Read more...]

Pre-computing a trading plan in parallel

November 11, 2011 | The Average Investor

R version 2.14 introduced a new package, called parallel. This new package combines the functionality from two previous packages: snow and multicore. Since I was using multicore to parallelise my computations, I had to migrate to the new package and decided to publish some code. Often trading strategies are tested using ... [Read more...]

A chart for marathoners

November 11, 2011 | David Smith

Here's a cool application of calendar heat maps: runner Andy used R to catalogue his daily running mileage over the last 2+ years: There are lots of ways to chart data like this (a simple time-series chart, for example), but sometimes looking at data in new ways offers fresh perspectives. For ... [Read more...]

Resampling and Shrinkage : Solutions to Instability of mean-variance efficient portfolios

November 11, 2011 | systematicinvestor

Small changes in the input assumptions often lead to very different efficient portfolios constructed with mean-variance optimization. I will discuss Resampling and Covariance Shrinkage Estimator – two common techniques to make portfolios in the mean-variance efficient frontier more diversified and immune to small changes in the input assumptions. Resampling was introduced ... [Read more...]

What you wish you knew before you started a PhD

November 11, 2011 | Rob J Hyndman

I asked my research group recently what they wished they had learned before they started work on a PhD. Here are some of the responses. More mathematics. Particular topics they named included real analysis, functional analysis, measure theory, algebra, linear algebra. That would have been my response also. I still ... [Read more...]

Another look at autocorrelation in the S&P 500

November 11, 2011 | Pat

Casting doubt on the possibility of mean reversion in the S&P 500 lately. Previously A look at volatility estimates in “The mystery of volatility estimates from daily versus monthly returns” led to considering the possibility of autocorrelation in the returns.  I estimated an AR(1) model through time and added a ... [Read more...]

Surviving a binomial mixed model

November 11, 2011 | Luis

A few years ago we had this really cool idea: we had to establish a trial to understand wood quality in context. Sort of following the saying “we don’t know who discovered water, but we are sure that it wasn’t … Continue reading → [Read more...]

Plotting implicit functions in R

November 11, 2011 | Ted Hart

So in prepping for my latest manuscript on population dynamics I have been creating all the necessary figures.  One of them I considered was a 2-d surface plot of a modified Ricker equation showing the transitions from extinction stability, and stability to limit cycles.  Inconveniently though the only way to ... [Read more...]

What 5,728.986 miles look like…

November 10, 2011 | Andy

Time Series as calendar heat maps + All of my running data since April 1, 2009 = Generated by the following code: #Sample Code based on example program at: source(file = "calendarHeat.R") run [Read more...]

Managing a Local R Repository

November 10, 2011 | Jason

I will be teaching a workshop on R and LaTeX at NEAIR in just under a month. One of the issues I will encounter is a lack of Internet access. I also work with restricted data from NCES which requires the computer to be secured including no network access. As ... [Read more...]
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