Posts Tagged ‘ Strategy ’

Backtesting with Short positions

December 1, 2011
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Backtesting with Short positions

I want to illustrate Backtesting with Short positions using an interesting strategy introduced by Woodshedder in the Simple, Long-Term Indicator Near to Giving Short Signal post. This strategy was also analyzed in details by MarketSci in Woodshedder’s Long-Term Indicator post. The strategy uses the 5 day rate of change (ROC5) and the 252 day rate

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Trading Strategy Sensitivity Analysis

November 28, 2011
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Trading Strategy Sensitivity Analysis

When designing a trading strategy, I want to make sure that small changes in the strategy parameters will not transform the profitable strategy into the loosing one. I will study the strategy robustness and profitability under different parameter scenarios using a sample strategy presented by David Varadi in the Improving Trend-Following Strategies With Counter-Trend Entries

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timezone issue in R

May 14, 2011
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While investigating Intraday patterns in FX returns and order flow paper I have faced the problem with timezone. I had 3 data sources with different timezones (GMT, CET, CEST). Most confusing thing was, that I didn’t know, how to deal with summer time. But why did I have the data with summer time in the first place?

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Seasonal pair trading

January 10, 2011
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Seasonal pair trading

quanttrader.info is a good quantitative repository, where I found an idea about seasonal spreads play. The idea of seasonal pair trading differs from pairs trading in a way, that it doesn’t try to find deviation from the spread’s mean, but it looks at seasonal spread patterns. In some cases it is easier to find an

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High readings of VIX index during 2 days

December 28, 2010
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High readings of VIX index during 2 days

During last two sessions (December 23th and 27th), VIX index posted returns (close to close) above 6 %. My question is – what return can we expect next day after such event? As you can see from the graph above, expected return is positive. During 1995-2010 were 53 such events and mean return was 1.02 %

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Interesting volatility measurement

December 10, 2010
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Long time ago I stumbled across interesting volatility measurement at quantifiableedges.blogspot.com. The idea is following: take 3-day historical volatility of S&P 500 index and divide that by 10-day historical volatility. Then mark all points which are less that 0.25 and measure the volatility of 3 following days. On average, the volatility of following 3 days

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3 weak days in a row

December 6, 2010
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3 weak days in a row

Recently, Trading the odds posted one of many flavors of mean reverting strategies and I decided to get my hands dirty by writing R code and testing it. You can find full description of the strategy by following latter link above. Long story short – if SPY shows lower open, high and close 3 days in

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R package Blotter

April 6, 2010
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R package Blotter

How many times have you been disappointed by nice trading system, because neither trading cost or slippage or bid/ask spread were included into back-test results? Did you find difficult to back-test a portfolio in R or many portfolios with different stocks? Blotter package is supposed to solve these problems. In really – it is complicated. I

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