# Posts Tagged ‘ odds ’

## Get Used To It

August 18, 2011
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This is a brain teaser. You've been warned.The S&P 500 is in a bear market (defined as the 50-day MA being below the 200-day MA) 30.8% of the time. Also, the S&P 500 has experienced single-day 4% declines 0.242% of the time. Of the times we exp...

November 2, 2010
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The only thing I remember from courses I had in probability a few years ago is that we also have to clearly defined the event we want to calculate the probability. On the Freakonomics blog, last week, the Israeli lottery was mentioned (here, see a...

$Coincidence in lotteries$