Posts Tagged ‘ decision ’

Baseball, basketball, and (not) getting better as time marches on

June 2, 2010
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Baseball, basketball, and (not) getting better as time marches on

PROS ARE NOT GETTING BETTER AT FREE THROWS Rick Larrick recently told Decision Science News that baseball players have been getting better over the years in a couple ways. First, home runs and strikeouts have increased. The careless or clueless reader might note that this is curious, for from the batter’s perspective home runs are

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You won, but how much was luck and how much was skill?

May 4, 2010
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You won, but how much was luck and how much was skill?

In baseball, what are the chances the winner will win again against the same opponent the very next day?

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Tipping heuristics

April 28, 2010
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Tipping heuristics

INCREDIBLY SIMPLE CALCULATIONS MADE SIMPLE Yes, we all know how to calculate 15% or 20% exactly, but it’s fun to use tipping heuristics and even more fun to make crowded graphs of how they compare to each other. (Sorry for the junky chart. Open for suggestions, in the words of Tom Waits.) Here are a

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