738 search results for "finance"

Are new SEC rules enough to prevent another Flash Crash?

September 22, 2011
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Are new SEC rules enough to prevent another Flash Crash?

At 2:42PM on March 10 2010, without warning, the Dow Jones Industrial Index plunged more than 1000 points in just 5 minutes. It remains the biggest one-day decline in this stock market index in history. On an intra-day basis, anyway: by the end of the day, the market had regained 600 points of the drop. At the time, the...

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Recession forecasting III: A Better Naive Forecast

September 20, 2011
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Recession forecasting III: A Better Naive Forecast

In Recession Forecasting Part II, I compared the accuracy of Hussman's recession forecasts to the accuracy of a naive forecast that assumed the current state of the recession variable would continue next month. An anonymous comment...

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How Lloyd’s of London uses R for Insurance

September 15, 2011
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How Lloyd’s of London uses R for Insurance

Lloyd's is the world's leading specialist insurance market, and is often the first to insure new, unusual or complex risks. So it's no surprise that Lloyd's is one of the many companies that use R and its advanced capabilities for data analysis to help manage its insurance risks. At the useR! conference last month, Lloyd's analysts Markus Gesmann, Viren...

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Correlations among US Stocks: Is it really time to fire your adviser?

September 15, 2011
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Correlations among US Stocks: Is it really time to fire your adviser?

Note: This post is NOT financial advice!  This is just a fun way to explore some of the capabilities R has for importing and manipulating data. The Financial Times says it's time to "Fire your Adviser" because correlations among US stocks ar...

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Reporting Good Enough to Share

September 15, 2011
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Reporting Good Enough to Share

Sorry to all my faithful readers for my absence recently. I started a new job at a new firm, so my blogging has moved down the priority list but only temporarily. I am still committed to documenting my thoughts, especially finance and R thoughts as dis...

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Revolution Analytics Fall Webinar Series

September 14, 2011
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We've lined up what we think is an amazing series of R-related webinars over the next couple of months. These free 30-60 minute webinars will cover a wide range of topics: big-data analysis in R with the RevoScaleR package, Hadoop and Netezza; introductions to R for SAS users and for R users new to Revolution R; and applications of...

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Backtesting a Simple Stock Trading Strategy

September 13, 2011
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Backtesting a Simple Stock Trading Strategy

Note: This post is NOT financial advice!  This is just a fun way to explore some of the capabilities R has for importing and manipulating data.   I recently read a post on ETF Prophet that explored an interesting stock trading strategy in Ex...

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LondonR, 7 September 2011

September 11, 2011
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LondonR, 7 September 2011

On 7 September 2011 I attended the London R user group meeting. It was a very good turn out with about 50 attendees at the Shooting Star, a pub close to Liverpool Street Station. The session started at 18:00 with four presentations, followed by drinks ...

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S&P 500 Returns

September 1, 2011
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S&P 500 Returns

I'll begin with a familiar image:That plot shows the closing values of the S&P 500 index from 1990 until today. It's a useful representation -- at a glance, you can tell when the market rose and fell. That said, it does have some problems: we're...

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Realized beta and beta equal 1

August 30, 2011
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Realized beta and beta equal 1

What does beta look like in the out-of-sample period for the portfolios generated to have beta equal to 1? In the comments Ian Priest wonders if the results in “The effect of beta equal 1″ are due to a shift in beta from the estimation period to the out-of-sample period.  (The current post will make … Continue reading...

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