1493 search results for "Regression"

UAH Temperature Anomalies Following Predictable Pattern

March 14, 2011
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UAH Temperature Anomalies Following Predictable Pattern

In this post I show one simple  and 2 multiple regression models to assess the role of time, El Nino – La Nina SSTA and volcanic activity (SATO) on UAH global temperature anomaly trends. The 3rd model provides a reasonable  … Continue reading →

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Statistical tests for variable selection

March 14, 2011
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I received an email today with the following comment: I’m using ARIMA with Intervention detection and was planning to use your package to identify my initial ARIMA model for later iteration, however I found that sometimes the auto.arima function returns a model where AR/MA coefficients are not significant. So my question is: Is there a

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Hacker News Analysis

March 13, 2011
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Hacker News Analysis

I was playing around with the Hacker News database Ronnie Roller made (thanks!), so I thought I’d post some of my findings. Activity on the Site My first question was: how has activity on the site increased over time? I … Continue reading →

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Using R for Introductory Statistics, The Geometric distribution

March 13, 2011
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Using R for Introductory Statistics, The Geometric distribution

We've already seen two discrete probability distributions, the binomial and the hypergeometric. The binomial distribution describes the number of successes in a series of independent trials with replacement. The hypergeometric distribution describes th...

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Using R for Introductory Statistics, The Geometric distribution

March 13, 2011
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Using R for Introductory Statistics, The Geometric distribution

We've already seen two discrete probability distributions, the binomial and the hypergeometric. The binomial distribution describes the number of successes in a series of independent trials with replacement. The hypergeometric distribution describes the number of successes in a series of independent trials without replacement. Chapter 6 of Using R introduces the geometric distribution - the time to...

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Analyzing big data with Revolution R Enterprise

March 10, 2011
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This post from Sherry LaMonica is the first in a series from members of the Revolution Analytics Engineering team — ed. Do you know about the big data capabilities in the RevoScaleR package, included with every Revolution R Enterprise installation? RevoScaleR provides a framework for fast and efficient multi-core processing of large data sets. You can visualize and model...

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Howling Winds and Stochastic Tones

March 9, 2011
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Howling Winds and Stochastic Tones

My greatest pleasures in mathematics come from observing--and here, listening to--the interplay of simple and complex. With a few axioms and definitions you can create surprising worlds, and in what seems like a mess you can find beautiful regularities. It's damn sexy, frankly. Here, I use a simple recursive equation to directly generate my sounds

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Playing with quantiles, part 2

March 8, 2011
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Playing with quantiles, part 2

It is common to look at best time at the Marathon. Or perhaps the distribution of the top100, as done by John Myles White on his blog here (data can be found there), as the graph below, with the density of the time for the first 100 men (in blue) a...

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Playing with quantiles, part 1

March 8, 2011
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Playing with quantiles, part 1

A standard idea in extreme value theory (see e.g. here, in French unfortunately) is that to estimate the 99.5% quantile (say), we just need to estimate a quantile of level 95% for observations exceeding the 90% quantile. In extreme value theory,...

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A Short Return to the Age-Earnings Profile

March 8, 2011
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A Short Return to the Age-Earnings Profile

Two posts ago I mentioned the age-earnings profile but did not provide a regression of log earnings on wage. I also offered, without evidence, that fitting a simple linear regression would be inappropriate. How do I know that? How could … Continue reading →

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