Articles by xi'an

Talk at CRiSM

May 30, 2010 | xi'an

This is the talk I am giving at the workshop on model uncertainty organised by the Centre for Research in Statistical Methodology (CRiSM) at the University of Warwick, on May 30-June 1. Careful readers will notice there is not much difference with my previous talk on the topic, as I only ... [Read more...]

A repulsive random walk

May 28, 2010 | xi'an

Matt Asher posted an R experiment on R-bloggers yesterday simulating the random walk which has the property of avoiding zero by quickly switching to a large value as soon as is small. He was then wondering about the “convergence” of the random walk given that it moves very little once ... [Read more...]

Random sudokus [p-values]

May 21, 2010 | xi'an

I reran the program checking the distribution of the digits over 9 “diagonals” (obtained by acceptable permutations of rows and column) and this test again results in mostly small p-values. Over a million iterations, and the nine (dependent) diagonals, four p-values were below 0.01, three were below 0.1, and two were above (0.21 and 0.42). [...]
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ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation

May 20, 2010 | xi'an

Pierre Lecuyer is the new editor of the ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation (TOMACS) and he has asked me to become an Area Editor for the new area of simulation in Statistics. I am quite excited by this new Æditor’s hat, since this is a cross-disciplinary journal: ... [Read more...]

Random [uniform?] sudokus [corrected]

May 19, 2010 | xi'an

As the discrepancy [from 1] in the sum of the nine probabilities seemed too blatant to be attributed to numerical error given the problem scale, I went and checked my R code for the probabilities and found a choose(9,3) instead of a choose(6,3) in the last line… The fit between the ...
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Random [uniform?] sudokus

May 19, 2010 | xi'an

A longer run of the R code of yesterday with a million sudokus produced the following qqplot. It does look ok but no perfect. Actually, it looks very much like the graph of yesterday, although based on a 100-fold increase in the number of simulations. Now, if I test the ...
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Confusing slice sampler

May 18, 2010 | xi'an

Most embarrassingly, Liaosa Xu from Virginia Tech sent the following email almost a month ago and I forgot to reply: I have a question regarding your example 7.11 in your book Introducing Monte Carlo Methods with R.  To further decompose the uniform simulation by sampling a and b step by step, ...
[Read more...]

Random sudokus [test]

May 17, 2010 | xi'an

Robin Ryder pointed out to me that 3 is indeed the absolute minimum one could observe because of the block constraint (bon sang, mais c’est bien sûr !). The distribution of the series of 3 digits being independent over blocks, the theoretical distribution under uniformity can easily be simulated: #uniform distribution ...
[Read more...]

Typo in Bayesian Core [again]

May 15, 2010 | xi'an

Reza Seirafi from Virginia Tech sent me the following email about Bayesian Core, which alas is pointing out a real typo in the reversible jump acceptance probability for the mixture model: With respect to the expression provided on page 178 for the acceptance probability of the split move, I was wondering ...
[Read more...]

pimax(mcsm)

May 12, 2010 | xi'an

The function pimax from our package mcsm is used in to reproduce Figure 5.11 of our book Introducing Monte Carlo Methods with R. (The name comes from using the Pima Indian R benchmark as the reference dataset.) I got this email from Josué I ran the ‘pimax’ example from the mcsm ...
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A ridiculous email

May 10, 2010 | xi'an

Wolfram Research presumably has a robot that sends automated email following postings on arXiv: Your article, “Evidence and Evolution: A review”, caught the attention of one of my colleagues, who thought that it could be developed into an interesting Demonstration to add to the Wolfram Demonstrations Project. The Demonstrations Project, ...
[Read more...]

Computational Statistics

May 9, 2010 | xi'an

Do not resort to Monte Carlo methods unnecessarily. When I received this 2009 Springer-Verlag book, Computational Statistics, by James Gentle a while ago, I briefly took a look at the table of contents and decided to have a better look later… Now that I have gone through the whole book, I ...
[Read more...]

Forsythe’s algorithm

May 8, 2010 | xi'an

In connection with the Bernoulli factory post of last week, Richard Brent arXived a short historical note recalling George Forsythe’s algorithm for simulating variables with density when (the extension to any upper bound is straightforward). The idea is to avoid computing the exponential function by simulating uniforms until since ... [Read more...]

Bayes vs. SAS

May 6, 2010 | xi'an

Glancing perchance at the back of my Amstat News, I was intrigued by the SAS advertisement Bayesian Methods Specify Bayesian analysis for ANOVA, logistic regression, Poisson regression, accelerated failure time models and Cox regression through the GENMOD, LIFEREG and PHREG procedures. Analyze a wider variety of models with the MCMC ...
[Read more...]

Candy branching process

May 5, 2010 | xi'an

The mathematical puzzle in the latest weekend edition of Le Monde is as follows: Two kids are given three boxes of chocolates with a total of 32 pieces. Rather than sharing evenly, they play the following game: Each in turn, they pick one of the three boxes, empty its contents in ... [Read more...]

Difficulty with mcsm?

May 4, 2010 | xi'an

An email from Keith I got this morning: Professor Robert, I have loaded the mcsm package to windows. The following messages appear in the R console: trying URL 'http://cran.stat.ucla.edu/bin/windows/contrib/2.9/mcsm_1.0.zip' Content type 'application/zip' length 193590 bytes (189 Kb) opened URL downloaded 189 Kb package ... [Read more...]

Research in pair next summer

April 29, 2010 | xi'an

Today I received the very good news that our proposal with Jean-Michel Marin to undertake “research in pair” in CIRM, Luminy, a fortnight next summer was accepted! This research centre in Mathematics is a southern and French version of the renowned German centre of Oberwolfach and, while I would have ... [Read more...]

The Bernoulli factory

April 22, 2010 | xi'an

A few months ago, Latuszyński, Kosmidis, Papaspiliopoulos and Roberts arXived a paper I should have noticed earlier as its topic is very much related to our paper with Randal Douc on the vanilla Rao-Blackwellisation scheme. It is motivated by the Bernoulli factory problem, which aims at (unbiasedly) estimating f(... [Read more...]

Little R == r

April 21, 2010 | xi'an

There's big R, the R that I use to do most my work, the environment that makes pretty graphics, et. al. It's like matlab, only cooler. Or more cool. Or less uncool. You can see my prejudices here. Today i discovered little R. It's like big R, only little. Holy ... [Read more...]

Sudokus more random than random!

April 18, 2010 | xi'an

Darren Wraith pointed out this column about sudokus to me. It analyses the paper by Newton and De Salvo published in the Proceedings of the Royal Academy of Sciences A that I cannot access from home. The discussion contains this absurd sentence “Sudoku matrices are actually more random than randomly-generated ... [Read more...]
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