Blog Archives

Asian Currency Opportunity

March 31, 2011
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Asian Currency Opportunity

Asian currencies are fundamentally undervalued at an extreme level due to the Central Banks’ focus on the US$.  For those that regularly read my blog or happened to see me in SmartMoney, this will not surprise you, “And investors can also buy...

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The Leverage Space Trading Model

March 29, 2011
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The Leverage Space Trading Model

I finally got around to reading Ralph Vince’s latest The Leverage Space Trading Model (for a brief summary see this magazine article in Futures), and I’m happy to say that the book was very helpful in approach and example.  I especially enjoye...

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Free and Easy Currency Monitor in R

March 22, 2011
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Free and Easy Currency Monitor in R

Certainly not the best way to keep up with currencies, but the increasingly important job of monitoring currencies can be free and easy in R using Federal Reserve FRED data.  Here is a template that can be adjusted to your favorite currencies with...

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Death Spiral Warning Graph

March 4, 2011
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Death Spiral Warning Graph

In the death spiral scenario, rates go up while the currency goes down.  Here is the way to watch that.  I’m not saying that death spiral of US Dollar and interest rates occurs, but without significant action to restore confidence in fiscal...

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R User Group Birmingham Alabama

March 1, 2011
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R User Group Birmingham Alabama

I would like to start a R user group in Birmingham, Alabama.  Please comment if anyone is interested.  I’m thinking I will host in Google Groups, since meetup costs money.  Let me know if I should use some other site.

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Interest Rates’ Influence on 1987

February 21, 2011
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Interest Rates’ Influence on 1987

One aspect of 1987 that does not deserve enough attention is interest rates.  Higher interest rates constrain economic activity and compete with other investments.  As seen in the chart below, the US 10year Treasury rate climbed 40% from 7% t...

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Silver and Russell 2000

February 16, 2011
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Silver and Russell 2000

When I find a chart that looks like this, I always like to explore a little further. via StockCharts.com I pull it into R and try to find anything worthwhile.  I do not find anything, except that I do not want to be trading both in the same direc...

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Opinions Not Backed by Money Are Not That Believable–Updated and with R

February 8, 2011
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Opinions Not Backed by Money Are Not That Believable–Updated and with R

As an update to http://timelyportfolio.blogspot.com/2010/12/opinions-not-backed-with-money-are-not.html, I have updated the revised data, added the past two months, and translated to R. If the world really is overly bullish on stocks as some suggest, I...

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Japan Intentional or Accidental Pursuit of Deflation

February 3, 2011
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Japan Intentional or Accidental Pursuit of Deflation

Japan’s intentional or accidental pursuit of deflation has caused an imbalance far greater than Bernanke’s pursuit of inflation.  Japanese policymakers have allowed Yen appreciation versus all other currencies.  It appears that they recog...

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