useR! 2012 is just around the corner. The deadline for talk and poster abstract submissions is today! Submit your abstract here.

This article linked below and the subsequent comments (some apparently from an Elsevier rep.) are interesting. It's not directly related to R, but is related to open source/science philosophy. Elsevier-funded NY Congresswoman Carolyn Maloney Wants to D...

Mortgage rates are low, considering historical rates for the last 50 years. It may be timely to consider a mortgage refinance. The image above links to a simple tool for exploring mortgage refinance, built using rapache and the yet-to-be-archived yarr package for R. Hence, there are now two mortgage-related calculators on this site: MortCalc: A

The popular news are reporting that the Multi-State Lottery Commission (MUSL) will change the rules for their lottery game Powerball, effective Jan. 15, 2012. I sent an email to the MUSL (at 8:00am Dec, 14th) asking for the new official rules, but haven't received a response yet (as of 10:30am Dec, 16th). Hence, these

This popular article references a report by financial consulting firms that makes a fairly convincing argument (even though they mostly neglect inferential statistics, and some parts of their argument are misleading, or otherwise not convincing) that 401(k) participants who accept "help" from financial experts take less risk and have better returns than those who do

The below is taken from a work in progress: The Polya urn is a heuristic associated with Dirichlet process mixtures. We present the scheme in a modified format, using balloons instead of balls, where the probability of drawing a balloon from the urn is proportional to its volume. Balloons are preferred because their volume may

I don't know, of course, because the evidence at hand is based on my experience. But, I'll leave the reader to consider whether these observations generalize. Proponents of Bayesian statistical inference argue that Bayesian credible intervals are more intuitive than the frequentist confidence intervals, because the Bayesian inference is a probability statement about a parameter.

Bill Bolstad's response to Xi'an's review of his book Understanding Computational Bayesian Statistics included the following comment, which I found interesting: Frequentist p-values are constructed in the parameter dimension using a probability distribution defined only in the observation dimension. Bayesian credible intervals are constructed in the parameter dimension using a probability distribution in the parameter