Posts Tagged ‘ volatility ’

Volatility from daily or monthly: garch evidence

October 29, 2012
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Volatility from daily or monthly: garch evidence

Should you use daily or monthly returns to estimate volatility? Does garch explain why volatility estimated with daily data tends to be bigger than if it is estimated with monthly data? Previously There are a number of previous posts — with the variance compression tag — that discuss the phenomenon of volatility estimated with daily … Continue reading...

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Volatility estimation and time-adjusted returns

December 15, 2011
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Volatility estimation and time-adjusted returns

Do non-trading days explain the mystery of volatility estimation? Previously The post “The volatility mystery continues” showed that volatility estimated with daily data tends to be larger (in recent years) than when estimated with lower frequency returns. Time adjusting One of the comments — from Joseph Wilson — was that there is a problem with … Continue reading...

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The volatility mystery continues

December 5, 2011
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The volatility mystery continues

How do volatility estimates based on monthly versus daily returns differ? Previously The post “The mystery of volatility estimates from daily versus monthly returns” and its offspring “Another look at autocorrelation in the S&P 500″ discussed what appears to be an anomaly in the estimation of volatility from daily versus monthly data. In recent times … Continue reading...

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The mystery of volatility estimates from daily versus monthly returns

November 8, 2011
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The mystery of volatility estimates from daily versus monthly returns

What drives the estimates apart? Previously A post by Investment Performance Guy prompted “Variability of volatility estimates from daily data”. In my comments to the original post I suggested that using daily data to estimate volatility would be equivalent to using monthly data except with less variability.  Dave, the Investment Performance Guy, proposed the exquisitely … Continue reading...

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Short selling, volatility and bubbles

October 17, 2011
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Short selling, volatility and bubbles

Yesterday, I wrote a post (in French) about short-selling in financial market since some journalists claimed that it was well-known that short -selling does increase volatility on financial market. Not only in French speaking journals actually, sin...

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Transaction cost analysis and pre-trade analysis

April 20, 2011
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Transaction cost analysis and pre-trade analysis

Transaction cost analysis (TCA) is the framework to achieve best execution in trading context. TCA can be split into three groups: pre-trade analysis, intraday analysis, and post-trade measurement. Pre-trade analysis allows us to get insight about the future volatility of the price, forecast intra-day and daily volumes, market impact. It evaluates all strategies and advises

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Volatility Violins

March 28, 2011
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Volatility Violins

Unlike many humans, markets love change. In fact, they look forward to it with great anticipation. Regular people like stability, for the most part. Unless you're a career gypsy, you like to stay in one place for some time. Making a home. Settling in, ...

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Interesting volatility measurement, part 2

January 21, 2011
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Interesting volatility measurement, part 2

A few weeks ago I have mentioned about an interesting volatility prediction. It is based on two periods of historical volatility (standard deviation). The remaining question was – does it really works? I could not give the answer, because I didn’t have VIX futures data at that time. Later on, I was contacted by Brian

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