politics

A statistical project bleg (urgent-ish)

October 22, 2012 | leekgroup

We all know that politicians can play it a little fast and loose with the truth. This is particularly true in debates, where politicians have to think on their feet and respond to questions from the audience or from each other.  Usually, we find out a... [Read more...]

Poor, Poor Hillary

December 16, 2011 | Command-Line Worldview

This will be the last baby name related post but this came out of part two web scrapping post last month. I was looking for the fastest rising Names. I flip the logic and looked for the fastest declining names in relative popularity. Out of that exerci... [Read more...]

Transaction cost analysis and pre-trade analysis

April 20, 2011 | Dzidorius Martinaitis

Transaction cost analysis (TCA) is the framework to achieve best execution in trading context. TCA can be split into three groups: pre-trade analysis, intraday analysis, and post-trade measurement. Pre-trade analysis allows us to get insight about the future volatility of the price, forecast intra-day and daily volumes, market impact. It ... [Read more...]

A quick look at #march11 / #saudi tweets

March 12, 2011 | mjbommar

Well, so much for that #march11 #Saudi day of rage.  Whether it was really the "tempest in a teacup" that  Prince Al-Waleed suggested on CNBC (video below, transcript here) or not, the oil complex and Saudi markets seem to have shrugged … Continue reading → [Read more...]

Dataset: Wisconsin Union Protester Tweets #wiunion

February 21, 2011 | mjbommar

   I’ve been playing with Twitter data over the last week, archiving Algerian, Egyptian, Iranian, and Chinese tweets.  I thought I’d bring the story a little closer to home this time by archiving tweets from Wisconsin Union protesters on the … Continue reading → [Read more...]

Dataset: Tweets from the Chinese Protests #cn220

February 20, 2011 | mjbommar

  Earlier this week, I posted a ~100k tweet dataset on the #25bahman protests in Iran.  The corresponding figure of frequencies showed a strong presence on Twitter, with over 500 tweets per 5 minute period at peak.  You can download the … Continue reading → [Read more...]

Canadian CPI: Visualization Brainstorm

May 27, 2010 | Wojciech Gryc

After finishing the R prototype for data visualization, I've started abstracting the various methods necessary to create beautiful graphs. While there's no preliminary version of the R package yet, I think I've taken a number of exciting steps. These include: Abstracting graph objects. Objects such as lines, scatter plots, and ... [Read more...]

How Misinformed are Tea Party Protesters About Tax Policy?

March 25, 2010 | Drew Conway

For those of you used to reading about international relations, I apologize for the following brief foray into American politics. It appears that the American Enterprise Institute and David Frum have decided to (abruptly) part ways. Before David left, however, he and his team of interns provided some interesting statistical ... [Read more...]

Health Care Reform vote

March 21, 2010 | jackman

A little bit of churn relative to the House’s 1st shot at this but otherwise a remarkably similar vote, with an estimated cutpoint almost at the same place; see some raw R output, below the fold, after the thumbnail… y is the vote to take up the Senate amendments; ... [Read more...]

Senators’ ideal points against Obama vote

March 18, 2010 | jackman

I added another plot to the output generated by my overnight ideal point scripts: a scatterplot of estimated Senate ideal points against Obama vote share in their state (color coded by party, local linear regression overlays by party, labels for some big residuals). I suppose I’m surprised by the ... [Read more...]

sequential ideal point estimates

January 9, 2010 | jackman

Out of curiosity, I produced a “sequential” set of ideal point estimate for the (current) 111th U.S. Senate, plotting the results in the graph attached below (click on the thumbnail); as is conventional, red is Republican and blue is Democratic. The analysis uses all 373 non-unanimous roll calls in the 111...
[Read more...]

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