Posts Tagged ‘ Elections ’

Why You Shouldn’t Conclude "No Effect" from Statistically Insignificant Slopes

June 16, 2012
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It is quite common in political science for researchers to run statistical models, find that a coefficient for a variable is not statistically significant, and then claim that the variable "has no effect." This is equivalent to proposing a research &#8...

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Data Science Books for Computational Journalists

May 8, 2012
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There are quite a few books out now on “data science”. I’ve picked out three that I think are the best place to start for computational journalists. First is Machine Learning for Hackers, by Drew Conway and John Myles White. The autho...

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Disproportionality Data

March 25, 2012
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Disproportionality Data

So I was hunting around for some data on disproportional electoral outcomes (when the proportion of voters cast for political parties is not close to the proportion of legislative seats that they win).Michael Gallagher keeps an updated version of his L...

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Iowa: Was the fix in? (a statistical analysis of the results)

January 4, 2012
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Iowa: Was the fix in? (a statistical analysis of the results)

Summary/TL;DR Either the first precincts to report were widely unrepresentative of Iowa as a whole, or something screwy happened. Background Yesterday was the first primary for the 2012 U.S. presidential elections. When I logged off the internet last night, the results in Iowa showed a dead heat between Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum.

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