Posts Tagged ‘ Bayesian model choice ’

relevant, revised, & resubmitted

May 7, 2012
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relevant, revised, & resubmitted

We have now completed our revision of the paper Relevant statistics for Bayesian model choice, written with Judith Rousseau, Jean-Michel Marin, and Natesh Pillai. It has been resubmitted to Series B and reposted on arXiv. The major change in the paper is the inclusion of a check about the relevance of a given summary statistics,

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Large-scale Inference

February 23, 2012
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Large-scale Inference

Large-scale Inference by Brad Efron is the first IMS Monograph in this new series, coordinated by David Cox and published by Cambridge University Press. Since I read this book immediately after Cox’ and Donnelly’s Principles of Applied Statistics, I was thinking of drawing a parallel between the two books. However, while none of them can

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Harmonic means, again again

January 9, 2012
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Harmonic means, again again

Another arXiv posting I had had no time to comment is Nial Friel’s and Jason Wyse’s “Estimating the model evidence: a review“. This is a review in the spirit of two of our papers, “Importance sampling methods for Bayesian discrimination between embedded models” with Jean-Michel Marin (published in Jim Berger Feitschrift, Frontiers of Statistical Decision

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Selecting statistics for ABC model choice [R code]

November 1, 2011
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Selecting statistics for ABC model choice [R code]

As supplementary material to the ABC paper we just arXived, here is the R code I used to produce the Bayes factor comparisons between summary statistics in the normal versus Laplace example. (Warning: running the R code takes a while!) Filed under: R, Statistics, University life Tagged: ABC, Bayesian model choice, Laplace distribution, R, summary

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Bayesian ideas and data analysis

October 30, 2011
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Bayesian ideas and data analysis

Here is another Bayesian textbook that appeared recently. I read it in the past few days and, despite my obvious biases and prejudices, I liked it very much! It has a lot in common (at least in spirit) with our Bayesian Core, which may explain why I feel so benevolent towards Bayesian ideas and

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Catching up faster by switching sooner

October 25, 2011
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Catching up faster by switching sooner

Here is our discussion (with Nicolas Chopin) of the Read Paper of last Wednesday by T. van Erven, P. Grünwald and S. de Rooij (Centrum voor Wiskunde en Informatica, Amsterdam), entitled Catching up faster by switching sooner: a predictive approach to adaptive estimation with an application to the Akaike information criterion–Bayesian information criterion dilemma. It

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Approximate Bayesian computational methods on-line

October 25, 2011
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Approximate Bayesian computational methods on-line

Fig. 4 – Boxplots of the evolution of ABC approximations to the Bayes factor. The representation is made in terms of frequencies of visits to models MA(1) and MA(2) during an ABC simulation when ε corresponds to the 10,1,.1,.01% quantiles on the simulated autocovariance distances. The data is a time

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expectation-propagation and ABC

August 23, 2011
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expectation-propagation and ABC

“It seems quite absurd to reject an EP-based approach, if the only alternative is an ABC approach based on summary statistics, which introduces a bias which seems both larger (according to our numerical examples) and more arbitrary, in the sense that in real-world applications one has little intuition and even less mathematical guidance on to

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JSM 2011 [3]

August 2, 2011
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JSM 2011 [3]

Monday August 01 was the first full day of JSM 2011 and full is the appropriate word to describe the day! It started for me at 7am with a round table run by Marc Suchard on parallel computing (or at 3am if I am considering the time I woke up!). I was rather out of

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Accepted lack of confidence

July 17, 2011
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Accepted lack of confidence

I just got the following email from PNAS about our Lack of confidence in ABC model choice. Editor's Remarks to Author: both referees now find the manuscript acceptable for publication as do I. Each suggests small changes which I encourage the authors to make prior to having the manuscript go into production. Congratulations on an

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