1721 search results for "time series"

Putting together multinomial discrete regressions by combining simple logits

June 29, 2011
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When predicting 0/1 data we can use logit (or probit or robit or some other robust model such as invlogit (0.01 + 0.98*X*beta)). Logit is simple enough and we can use bayesglm to regularize and avoid the problem of separation. What if there are more than 2 categories? If they’re ordered (1, 2, 3, etc),

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p-Values for Cointegration Tests With Breaks in the Data

June 28, 2011
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p-Values for Cointegration Tests With Breaks in the Data

In an earlier post I went through some econometrics that involved the problem of testing for multivariate cointegration in the case where there are one or more trend-breaks or level-breaks in the time-series data.  Specifically, I talked about the modified Trace tests introduced by Johansen et al. (2000), and I mentioned the really nice discussion of the application of these tests...

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RghcnV3 version 1.1

June 27, 2011
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RghcnV3 version 1.1

I’ve just uploaded version 1.1 of  the package RghcnV3 to Cran. I’ve made a few changes that should make it easier for some folks to use. First I removed the requirement for rgdal. At the present time “rgdal” is not required. On the MAC installing it can be a little trouble, but if you RTFM

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Bonds Risk and Return by Rating

June 27, 2011
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Bonds Risk and Return by Rating

As an extension to the Bond Market as a Casino Game series and Historical Sources of Bond Returns-Comparison of Daily to Monthly, I thought a ggplot of risk and return by decade and Moody’s Rating might be helpful.  Anyone who has read those oth...

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A Winking Pink Elephant

June 27, 2011
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A Winking Pink Elephant

The title of chapter 5 in my Guerrilla Capacity Planning book is, "Evaluating Scalability Parameters," and underneath it you'll see this quote:"With four parameters I can fit an elephant. With five I can make his trunk wiggle." —John von NeumannIn that vein, Guerrilla alumnus Stephen O'C. pointed me at a recent blog post and paper (PDF)...

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Confidence, Ending Equity, and What I Can Do as the Money Manager

June 24, 2011
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Confidence, Ending Equity, and What I Can Do as the Money Manager

I wrote this as my quarterly commentary, but compliance blocked it because they said I was implying that I am Warren Buffett or I can replicate Warren Buffett.  Anyways, I thought I should share it as a general discussion piece.  More than on...

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gretl

June 24, 2011
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In comments on a recent post, "Ben" and Tal Galili very sensibly asked if I could make R code available for the econometric analysis in my posts, in addition to EViews code. I'll be trying to do this wherever I can, given the time constraints.The important point implicit in these comments is that R is free, open-source, software, whereas...

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Drawing heatmaps in R

June 24, 2011
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Drawing heatmaps in R

A while back, while reading chapter 4 of Using R for Introductory Statistics, I fooled around with the mtcars dataset giving mechanical and performance properties of cars from the early 70's. Let's plot this data as a hierarchically clustered heatmap. # scale data to mean=0, sd=1 and convert to matrix mtscaled <- as.matrix(scale(mtcars)) # create...

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Statistics.com Review

June 20, 2011
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Disclaimer: All prices and classes are approximate and should be confirmed at www.statistics.com as they can change. A comment from my previous post asked me about the experience I had in taking courses from statistics.com (www.statistics.com). To help...

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Calling R lovers and bloggers – to work together on “The R Programming wikibook”

June 20, 2011
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Calling R lovers and bloggers – to work together on “The R Programming wikibook”

This post is a call for both R community members and R-bloggers, to come and help make The R Programming wikibook be amazing. The R Programming wikibook is not just another one of the many free books about statistics/R, it is a community project which aims to create a cross-disciplinary practical guide to the R programming language.  Here is

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