1718 search results for "Time series"

Graphical insights from the 2012 UseR! Meeting

About this time last month, I attended the 2012 UseR! Meeting.  Now an annual event, this series of conferences started in Europe in 2004 as an every-other-year gathering that now seems to alternate between the U.S. and Europe.  This year’s meeting was held on the VanderbiltUniversity campus in Nashville, TN, and it was attended by about 500 R aficionados,...

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The R Journal Volume 4/1, June 2012

July 6, 2012
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As first reported by Paolo, the new R journal is out! You can Download the complete issue from here.  Refereed articles may be downloaded individually using the links below. Table of Contents Editorial 3   Contributed Research Articles   Analysing Seasonal Data  Adrian G Barnett, Peter Baker and Annette J Dobson 5 MARSS: Multivariate Autoregressive State-space...

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Three hours of pure soccer emotion, visualized with R

July 6, 2012
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Three hours of pure soccer emotion, visualized with R

The biggest prize in UK soccer, the Premier League Championship, is decided by a points system. Unlike most sports competitions, there's no final round or playoff series: once the regular round of games is complete, the team that has accumulated the most points (three for a win, and one for a draw) is the champion of English football. In...

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A practical introduction to garch modeling

July 6, 2012
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A practical introduction to garch modeling

We look at volatility clustering, and some aspects of modeling it with a univariate GARCH(1,1) model. Volatility clustering Volatility clustering — the phenomenon of there being periods of relative calm and periods of high volatility — is a seemingly universal attribute of market data.  There is no universally accepted explanation of it. GARCH (Generalized AutoRegressive … Continue reading...

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Health Care Costs – Part 1, "The Problem"

July 5, 2012
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Health Care Costs – Part 1, "The Problem"

The Problem In the United States, health care costs have been going up for a number of years, even when adjusted for inflation. Not unlike a runaway freight train, this rampant inflation cannot continue indefinitely without crashing. ...

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Alternative to Monte Carlo Testing

July 4, 2012
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Alternative to Monte Carlo Testing

When we backtest a strategy on a portfolio, it is a simple analysis of a single period in time. There are ways to “stress test” a strategy such as monte carlo, random portfolios, or shuffling the returns in a random order. I could never really wrap my head around monte carlo and shuffling the returns … Continue reading...

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Glmnet_1.8 uploaded to CRAN

July 4, 2012
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(by Trevor Hastie) Glmnet_1.8 uploaded to CRAN – This is a major revision, with two additional models included. 1) Multiresponse regression – family=”mgaussian” Here we have a matrix of M responses, and we fit a series of linear models in parallel. We use a group-lasso penalty on the set of M coefficients for each variable. This means they are...

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To the Basics: Bayesian Inference on A Binomial Proportion

July 4, 2012
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To the Basics: Bayesian Inference on A Binomial Proportion

Think of something observable – countable – that you care about with only one outcome or another. It could be the votes cast in a two-way election in your town, or the free throw shots the center on your favorite...

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precise pangolin (Ubuntu 12.04)

July 2, 2012
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precise pangolin (Ubuntu 12.04)

Following the crash of my hard drive right before leaving Kyoto, I bought a cheap Compaq Presario CQ57 to reinstall Ubuntu 12.04 over the weekend (and have a laptop available before leaving for Australia…)  It took about one hour to install from the DVD and everything seems to be working out of the box. The

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My first competition at Kaggle

July 2, 2012
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My first competition at Kaggle

For me Kaggle becomes a social network for data scientist, as stackoverflow.com or github.com for programmers. If you are data scientist, machine learner or statistician you better off to have a profile there, otherwise you do not exist. Nevertheless, I won’t bet on rosy future for data scientist as journalists suggest (sexy job for next

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