1492 search results for "regression"

Forecasting workshop: Switzerland, June 2011

December 6, 2010
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Forecasting workshop: Switzerland, June 2011

I will be running a workshop on Statistical Forecasting: Principles and Practice in Switzerland, 20-22 June 2011. Check out the venue: Waldhotel Doldenhorn, Kandersteg! So if you fancy a trip to the beautiful Swiss Alps next June, read on… Outline Forecasting is required in many situations: deciding whether to build another power generation plant in

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Rethinking ‘loess’ for Binomial-Response Pitch F/X Strike Zone Maps

December 5, 2010
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Rethinking ‘loess’ for Binomial-Response Pitch F/X Strike Zone Maps

So after a long hiatus, I'm back for today. I've been crazy busy with a number of different things--including getting engaged and helping plan out wedding dates and things of that sort--and unfortunately have not kept up here on this blog (or on Fanta...

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Another boring blog

December 2, 2010
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Another boring blog

I recently decided to create two blogs as outlets for my research.  The first (The Richness of Life) focuses more on the organisms I work with as an ecologist and my general interest as a student of natural history.  This blog on Quantitative...

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Statistique de l’assurance STT6705V, partie 12

December 2, 2010
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Statistique de l’assurance STT6705V, partie 12

The final course (since courses end this week in Montréal) can be watched here and there. The drawings from the course can be downloaded here (including last week's). First, to come back on last week's course , we considered Lee-carter model, i.e....

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Recent developments in the drug war

December 1, 2010
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Recent developments in the drug war

The Mexican government recently released data on all crime statistics from January 1997 to October 2010, as reported by the various police forces operating in Mexico. This information provides an unprecedented look at what has happened since the drug war began and allows for a frank assessment of the deterioration of security in Mexico.

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Recent developments in the drug war

December 1, 2010
By
Recent developments in the drug war

The Mexican government recently released data on all crime statistics from January 1997 to October 2010, as reported by the various police forces operating in Mexico. This information provides an unprecedented look at what has happened since the drug war began and allows for a frank assessment of the deterioration of security in Mexico.

Read more »

Initializing the Holt-Winters method

November 29, 2010
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Initializing the Holt-Winters method

The Holt-Winters method is a popular and effective approach to forecasting seasonal time series. But different implementations will give different forecasts, depending on how the method is initialized and how the smoothing parameters are selected. In this post I will discuss various initialization methods. Suppose the time series is denoted by and the seasonal period

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Statistique de l’assurance STT6705V, partie 11

November 29, 2010
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Statistique de l’assurance STT6705V, partie 11

Last course will be uploaded soon (the links will be here and there). The R code considered is given below. First, we had to work a little bit on the datasets, tabB=read.table("http://perso.univ-rennes1.fr/arthur.charpentier/tabB.csv", sep=";",head...

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Were stock returns really better in 2007 than 2008?

November 22, 2010
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Were stock returns really better in 2007 than 2008?

We know that the S&P 500 was up a little in 2007 and down a lot in 2008.  So on the surface the question seems really stupid.  But randomness played a part.  Let’s have a go at deciding how much of a part. Figure 1: Comparison of 2007 and 2008 for the S&P 500. Statistical … Continue reading...

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Finally! A practical R book on Data Mining: "Data Mining With R, Learning with Case Studies," by Luis Torgo

November 19, 2010
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Finally! A practical R book on Data Mining:  "Data Mining With R, Learning with Case Studies," by Luis Torgo

I've been a bit busy lately with a few big things, however, I wanted to stop by and mention a fantastic book for those who have been following along the R examples.  Anyone who's followed my blog knows that I'm big on practical books with examples...

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