512 search results for "trading"

Testing an S&P 500 prediction

July 10, 2011
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Testing an S&P 500 prediction

If a particular prediction comes true, how surprised should we be? The prediction The page that sparked my curiosity tells of a prediction made a year ago that the S&P 500 would beat its historic high by the end of 2011.  It says that at the point the prediction was made, the level of the … Continue reading...

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Scary Derivatives and Scary XML in R

July 7, 2011
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Scary Derivatives and Scary XML in R

I need some new R skills, and there is no better motivation to learn XML in R than one of the scariest financial datasets out there—the US Department of the Treasury Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) Quarterly Derivatives Report. I’ll...

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A Quantstrat to Build On Part 6

July 5, 2011
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A Quantstrat to Build On Part 6

THIS IS NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.  ACTING ON THIS MAY LOSE LOTS OF MONEY. In A Quantstrat to Build on Part 5, I promised some performance reporting on quantstrat portfolios, but then in REIT Momentum in Quantstrat, I discovered it is not nearly as ea...

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Cash Might be Your Tail Risk

June 30, 2011
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Cash Might be Your Tail Risk

Just like James Montier Ode to the Joy of Cash and David Merkel Got Cash?, I think cash is an extremely powerful tool.  Of the 3 ingredients (land, labor, and capital) of the economy, capital (cash) is most scarce at the end of a crisis or recessi...

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The R Journal: June 2011

June 24, 2011
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The latest issue of the R Journal is out, and as always includes many useful articles about using R and R packages. Articles in Volume 3/1 dive into topics including creating test for R packages with test_that; dealing with times, time zones, dates and holidays with timeDate; social network analysis of mailing lists through text mining; creating choropleths and...

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Exploring the Market with Hurst

June 17, 2011
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Exploring the Market with Hurst

Randomly trudging through PerformanceAnalytics source code, I was intrigued by the Hurst Index calculation, which I discovered is more commonly called Hurst Exponent.  After quickly satisfying myself that I could actually do the rolling Hurst calculat...

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“Financial Risk Forecasting” – a book review by Christian Reusch

June 10, 2011
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A guest post by Christian Reusch giving a book review for the book “Financial Risk Forecasting” by Jon Danielsson. ———– As an academic-turned hedge fund professional with a particular interest in financial econometrics and quantitative money management, this book written by one of my former lecturers at the London School of Economics caught my attention: Having (had to) read...

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Automating R Scripts on Amazon EC2

June 9, 2011
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Automating R Scripts on Amazon EC2

Overview: How to setup R on an EC2 instance of Ubuntu 11.04 (Natty Narwhal) How to setup Apache Tomcat 6.0 web server and configuring it with basic authentication so that we can view our output from R on a password … Continue reading →

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Annual Returns by State of the US Economy

June 1, 2011
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Annual Returns by State of the US Economy

Sometimes it is fun to just look at annual returns, especially as the financial world has shifted its focus to microseconds in a world of inconceivable macro imbalances.  St. Louis Fed (USREC) offers a binary state of the economy with 1=recession ...

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R/Finance 2011 Presentations are online

May 29, 2011
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For those of you who don't subscribe to the R-SIG-Finance mailing list: You really should subscribe ;-) Dirk Eddelbuettel announced the R/Finance 2011 presentations are now available. I've included the entire announcement (with some hyperlinks) below.The organizing committee for the R/Finance 2011 conference is pleased to announce the availability of presentation slides from the 3rd annual R/Finance...

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