526 search results for "trading"

S&P 500 Returns

September 1, 2011
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S&P 500 Returns

I'll begin with a familiar image:That plot shows the closing values of the S&P 500 index from 1990 until today. It's a useful representation -- at a glance, you can tell when the market rose and fell. That said, it does have some problems: we're...

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Modest Modeest for Moving Average

August 24, 2011
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Modest Modeest for Moving Average

I have no idea who originated the idea of using moving averages to determine entry and exit points in a trading system.  I do know that Mebane Faber (briefly discussed in Shorting Mebane Faber) has recently popularized the notion through his >7...

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We keep breaking records ? so what ?… Get statistical perspective….

August 17, 2011
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We keep breaking records ? so what ?… Get statistical perspective….

This summer, we have been told that some financial series broke some records (here, in French) For instance, the French CAC40 had negative return for 11 consecutive days (which has never been seen, so far). > library(tseries)> x<-get....

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ttrTests Experimentation

August 16, 2011
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ttrTests Experimentation

I was intrigued by the CRAN update on a package ttrTests, especially since quantstrat is not built for backtesting system parameters and analyzing system performance as I mentioned in A Quantstrat to Build On Part 6.  ttrTests offers a nice start ...

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System Failure-Maybe it Will Help

August 11, 2011
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System Failure-Maybe it Will Help

I hope everyone is enjoying the market.  After a crazy week personally and 6% intraday swings, I remember why I abandoned day trading. I often wonder if I should share ideas that do not work as well as I would like.  In this case, I know I ha...

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The indices understate the carnage

August 9, 2011
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The indices understate the carnage

The first 6 trading days of August have been bad for the major indices, but how variable is that across portfolios? To answer that, two sets of random portfolios were generated from the constituents of the S&P 500.  The trading days are 2011 August 1 — 5 and 8. The returns of the indices for … Continue reading...

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Aug 4, 2011 "plunge" headlines are in the air tonight

August 4, 2011
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Aug 4, 2011 "plunge" headlines are in the air tonight

Today's financial headlines are littered with the word 'plunge.'  Considering today's (cl-cl) drop on the S&P500 was just about -5%, I don't know that I would exactly call that a plunge.         &nb...

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Summarizing Returns with R

August 2, 2011
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Summarizing Returns with R

Often I like to see the performance of a trading strategy summarized annually, quarterly or by month. In R, we start off with the summary function: Given a series xx, usually a chunk of the original, this function returns the accumulative returns for the period. The leverage is useful to somewhat simulate leveraged ETFs. The

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Pattern Recognition: forward Boxplot Trajectories using R

July 28, 2011
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Pattern  Recognition: forward Boxplot Trajectories using R

Although the following discussion can apply to the Quantitative Candlestick Pattern Recognition series, it is addressing the same issue as any basic conditional type system -- how and when to exit.  The following is one way to visualize and think ...

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Creating Financial Instrument metadata in R

July 27, 2011
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(This is a guest post by Ilya Kipnis)When trading stocks in a single currency, instrument metadata can be safely ignored because the multiplier is 1 and the currencies are all the same.  When doing analysis on fixed income products, options, futures, or other complex derivative instruments, the data defining the properties of these instruments becomes critical to tasks...

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