Blog Archives

Should I use premium Diesel? Setup

March 1, 2015
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Should I use premium Diesel? Setup

Since I drive quite a lot, I have some interest in getting the most km out every Euro spent on fuel. One thing to change is the fuel. The oil companies have a premium fuel, which is supposed to be better for both engine and fuel consumption. On the oth...

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Priors on odds and probability of success

February 22, 2015
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Priors on odds and probability of success

In Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation (David J. Spiegelhalter, Keith R. Abrams, Jonathan P. Myles) they mention that an non informative prior should be uniform over the range of interest. They combine this with the d...

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Trial until first succes

February 15, 2015
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Trial until first succes

Studying on in Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation (David J. Spiegelhalter, Keith R. Abrams, Jonathan P. Myles) they state that if you have one success in a trial, that a design is needed to know what that means. For examp...

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Hierarchical log odds model example

February 8, 2015
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Hierarchical log odds model example

I am working through Bayesian Approaches to Clinical Trials and Health-Care Evaluation (David J. Spiegelhalter, Keith R. Abrams, Jonathan P. Myles) (referred to as BACTHCE from here on). In chapter three I saw an example (3.13) where I wanted to d...

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Unemployment

February 1, 2015
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Unemployment

Beginning 2013 I made a post plotting unemployment in Europe. Last year I did the same. Now that the unemployment numbers of December are on Eurostat, I am making them again. The plots shown are unemployment and its first derivative, both smoothed.You ...

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Odds, odds ratio, language and intuition

January 25, 2015
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I was reading a statistics book the other day. I am at the beginning. In this section I read '(we) report results as odds ratios, which is more intuitive'. I must have read sentences stating this any number of times. But I don't agree.It may be my back...

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SAS PROC MCMC example in R: Logistic Regression Random-Effects Model

January 18, 2015
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In this post I will run SAS example Logistic Regression Random-Effects Model in four R based solutions; Jags, STAN, MCMCpack and LaplacesDemon. To quote the SAS manual: 'The data are taken from Crowder (1978). The Seeds data set is a 2 x 2 fa...

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Multivariate analysis of death rate on the map of Europe

January 11, 2015
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Multivariate analysis of death rate on the map of Europe

Eurostat has information on death rates by cause and NUTS 2 region. I am trying to get this visually displayed on the map. To get there I map all causes to three dimensions via a principal components analysis. These three dimensions are subsequently tr...

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Capital in the Netherlands, 2006-2013

January 4, 2015
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Capital in the Netherlands, 2006-2013

I guess most people have heard of Piketty and his book capital in the twenty-First century. I don't have that book, but the media attention has made me wonder if I could see any trends in Dutch public data. As I progressed with this post, I have conclu...

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A time series contest attempt

December 28, 2014
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A time series contest attempt

I saw the post a time series contest on Rob J Hyndman's blog. Since I am still wanting to play around with some bigger data sets, so I went to the source website https://drive.google.com/folderview?id=0BxmzB6Xm7Ga1MGxsdlMxbGllZnM&usp=shar...

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