Blog Archives

Evaluation of Tactical Approaches

June 8, 2012
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Evaluation of Tactical Approaches

Tactical approaches are often chosen based on the best cumulative return which implicitly incorporates significant hindsight bias.  Just because an approach dominates for a period of time does not indicate that it will be the best approach.  ...

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System from Trend Following Factors

June 1, 2012
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System from Trend Following Factors

As I thought more about Trend Following Factors from Hsieh and Fung, I thought that the trend following factors might indicate a state/regime for the equity markets that could potentially offer momentum-style timing signals for a system on the S&P ...

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Conditional Drawdown Exploration

May 31, 2012
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Conditional Drawdown Exploration

After reading Strub, Issam S., Trade Sizing Techniques for Drawdown and Tail Risk Control (May 21, 2012), I thought I should try to tie this with 2 other good R pieces on Conditional Drawdown: http://systematicinvestor.wordpress.com/2011/11/01/minimiz...

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Trend Following Factors from Hsieh and Fung

May 25, 2012
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Trend Following Factors from Hsieh and Fung

The beauty of R and academic replication is that on the Friday before Memorial Day weekend I can read an academic paper and do some analysis all before breakfast.  In this case, the paper is Hsieh, David A. and Fung, William, The Risk in Hedge F...

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Quick dprint Experiment

May 24, 2012
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Quick dprint Experiment

As a quick dprint experiment, I thought I would try to do a quarterly return table that might potentially fit in knitR Performance Report 3 (really with knitr) and dprint.  Although I do not think I will use it in the final report, I do think it i...

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knitR Performance Report 3 (really with knitr) and dprint

May 23, 2012
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knitR Performance Report 3 (really with knitr) and dprint

please see knitr Performance Report–Attempt 3, knitr Performance Report-Attempt 2 and knitr Performance Report-Attempt 1 alstated’s asked a very good question in his comment on knitr Performance Report–Attempt 3, and I’m not sure I could have a...

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knitr Performance Report–Attempt 3

May 22, 2012
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knitr Performance Report–Attempt 3

please see knitr Performance Report-Attempt 2 and knitr Performance Report-Attempt 1 Since the time of my last reporting post, RStudio, knitr, and Sweave have worked extremely hard to make document creation easier by becoming even more streamlined and ...

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Skew of Bonds

May 15, 2012
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Skew of Bonds

As the researchpuzzler highlights in “a bad bet”, US bonds were a popular subject at the CFA Institute Annual Conference.  While US Bonds have been in an amazing 30 year run (see previous posts Lattice Explore Bonds, Bond Market as a Casino Ga...

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French Global Factors

April 30, 2012
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French Global Factors

I have said it already in multiple posts, but Kenneth French’s data library is one of the most generous and powerful contributions to the financial community.  To build on Systematic Investor’s series on factors, I thought I should run some ba...

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Real Time Structural Break

April 27, 2012
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Real Time Structural Break

Yesterday as I played with bfast I kept thinking “Yes, but this is all in hindsight.  How can I potentially use this in a system?”  Fortunately, one of the fine authors very generously commented on my post Structural Breaks (Bull or Bear?...

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